Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu on September 18 point to mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 24–26°C. Persistent regional moisture from recent frontal activity, combined with high humidity and light winds, suppresses the usual September diurnal rise in this subtropical basin. Model consensus across sources shows modest day-to-day variability tied to exact cloud timing and precipitation rates, creating genuine uncertainty between 23°C and 27°C outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration on the 17th and 18th will provide the final observational data used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日成都最高溫度?
26°C 24%
27°C 20%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
16%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
24%
27°C
20%
28°C
13%
29°C
10%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 24%
27°C 20%
25°C 19%
24°C 18%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
16%
23°C
14%
24°C
18%
25°C
19%
26°C
24%
27°C
20%
28°C
13%
29°C
10%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu on September 18 point to mostly cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle, limiting daytime heating and anchoring the maximum temperature near 24–26°C. Persistent regional moisture from recent frontal activity, combined with high humidity and light winds, suppresses the usual September diurnal rise in this subtropical basin. Model consensus across sources shows modest day-to-day variability tied to exact cloud timing and precipitation rates, creating genuine uncertainty between 23°C and 27°C outcomes. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration on the 17th and 18th will provide the final observational data used for market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions