The market's near-certain pricing on 31°C reflects official observations and multiple real-time weather station reports confirming that as Guangzhou's daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.9°C for the date while falling well below historical extremes such as the 35.6°C record set in 2021. Model consensus from sources including NOAA-linked forecasts and local monitoring showed limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and precipitation suppressing further rises. Resolution hinges on verified station data meeting the exact threshold; minor adjustments in post-processing or differing station networks could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current convergence across datasets leaves negligible room for alternative outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日廣州最高溫度？
9月16日廣州最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,181 交易量
$48,181 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$48,181 交易量
$48,181 交易量
2026-09-16
25°C或以下
$338 交易量
否
26°C
$354 交易量
否
27°C
$1,170 交易量
否
28°C
$2,206 交易量
否
29°C
$2,306 交易量
否
30°C
$4,885 交易量
否
31°C
$12,782 交易量
是
32°C
$5,968 交易量
否
33°C
$8,047 交易量
否
34°C
$5,373 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$4,753 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on 31°C reflects official observations and multiple real-time weather station reports confirming that as Guangzhou's daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.9°C for the date while falling well below historical extremes such as the 35.6°C record set in 2021. Model consensus from sources including NOAA-linked forecasts and local monitoring showed limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and precipitation suppressing further rises. Resolution hinges on verified station data meeting the exact threshold; minor adjustments in post-processing or differing station networks could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current convergence across datasets leaves negligible room for alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$48,181結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's near-certain pricing on 31°C reflects official observations and multiple real-time weather station reports confirming that as Guangzhou's daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.9°C for the date while falling well below historical extremes such as the 35.6°C record set in 2021. Model consensus from sources including NOAA-linked forecasts and local monitoring showed limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and precipitation suppressing further rises. Resolution hinges on verified station data meeting the exact threshold; minor adjustments in post-processing or differing station networks could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current convergence across datasets leaves negligible room for alternative outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48,181結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's near-certain pricing on 31°C reflects official observations and multiple real-time weather station reports confirming that as Guangzhou's daily maximum on September 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with light rain and southeasterly flow. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 31.9°C for the date while falling well below historical extremes such as the 35.6°C record set in 2021. Model consensus from sources including NOAA-linked forecasts and local monitoring showed limited afternoon heating due to cloud cover and precipitation suppressing further rises. Resolution hinges on verified station data meeting the exact threshold; minor adjustments in post-processing or differing station networks could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current convergence across datasets leaves negligible room for alternative outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions