Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 20, driven by a moderating westerly airflow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to highs of 18–19°C with light winds shifting northwest, consistent with late-September climatology where averages hover around 18–19°C. This alignment of model consensus and stable synoptic conditions underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 19°C, while the smaller share for 20°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and NOAA affiliates will refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月20日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
19°C 65%
20°C 29%
18°C 8%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
8%
19°C
65%
20°C
29%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C或以上
<1%
19°C 65%
20°C 29%
18°C 8%
21°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
$655 交易量
<1%
15°C
$105 交易量
<1%
16°C
$121 交易量
<1%
17°C
$62 交易量
<1%
18°C
$623 交易量
8%
19°C
$2,496 交易量
65%
20°C
$651 交易量
29%
21°C
$308 交易量
1%
22°C
$121 交易量
<1%
23°C
$521 交易量
1%
24°C或以上
$105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 20, driven by a moderating westerly airflow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to highs of 18–19°C with light winds shifting northwest, consistent with late-September climatology where averages hover around 18–19°C. This alignment of model consensus and stable synoptic conditions underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 19°C, while the smaller share for 20°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and NOAA affiliates will refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$5,769結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 20, driven by a moderating westerly airflow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to highs of 18–19°C with light winds shifting northwest, consistent with late-September climatology where averages hover around 18–19°C. This alignment of model consensus and stable synoptic conditions underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 19°C, while the smaller share for 20°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and NOAA affiliates will refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,769結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature near 19°C in Amsterdam on September 20, driven by a moderating westerly airflow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. Official guidance points to highs of 18–19°C with light winds shifting northwest, consistent with late-September climatology where averages hover around 18–19°C. This alignment of model consensus and stable synoptic conditions underpins the dominant market-implied probability for 19°C, while the smaller share for 20°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact peak timing or localized warming. Updated runs from agencies like the Met Office and NOAA affiliates will refine the final observed maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions