Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for those thresholds. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds and scattered showers limit further drops. Historical September averages show typical minima around 12–13°C, with current conditions lacking the clear skies or cold-air advection needed for sub-10°C readings. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus favoring mild outcomes against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日墨西哥城的最低溫度？
9月20日墨西哥城的最低溫度？
7°C或以下 100%
12°C 99%
11°C 98%
13°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
7°C或以下
100%
8°C
14%
9°C
11%
10°C
13%
11°C
98%
12°C
99%
13°C
51%
14°C
54%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C或更高
<1%
7°C或以下 100%
12°C 99%
11°C 98%
13°C 51%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
8°C
$0 交易量
14%
9°C
$0 交易量
11%
10°C
$0 交易量
13%
11°C
$0 交易量
98%
12°C
$0 交易量
99%
13°C
$0 交易量
51%
14°C
$47 交易量
54%
15°C
$199 交易量
1%
16°C
$162 交易量
1%
17°C或更高
$22 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for those thresholds. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds and scattered showers limit further drops. Historical September averages show typical minima around 12–13°C, with current conditions lacking the clear skies or cold-air advection needed for sub-10°C readings. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus favoring mild outcomes against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$430結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for those thresholds. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds and scattered showers limit further drops. Historical September averages show typical minima around 12–13°C, with current conditions lacking the clear skies or cold-air advection needed for sub-10°C readings. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus favoring mild outcomes against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$430結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle between 12–14°C, driving closely matched market-implied odds near 50% for those thresholds. High elevation near 2,240 meters promotes rapid nighttime radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies, while light northerly winds and scattered showers limit further drops. Historical September averages show typical minima around 12–13°C, with current conditions lacking the clear skies or cold-air advection needed for sub-10°C readings. Traders appear to weigh ensemble consensus favoring mild outcomes against residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and localized urban effects.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions