Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs points to a Mexico City high near 23–24°C on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain that reduce surface heating despite seasonal insolation levels. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns at the city's 2,240 m elevation, where afternoon convection often caps temperatures below clear-sky maxima. Trader emphasis on the 26°C and 27°C+ bins reflects model spread and the possibility of partial clearing allowing brief warming spikes, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current stable, moist air mass. Official station readings from Mexico City's network will resolve the market after sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
9月20日墨西哥城的最高溫度？
26°C 49%
27°C或以上 35%
25°C 14%
24°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
49%
27°C或以上
35%
26°C 49%
27°C或以上 35%
25°C 14%
24°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
17°C或以下
$26 交易量
<1%
18°C
$26 交易量
<1%
19°C
$26 交易量
<1%
20°C
$26 交易量
<1%
21°C
$36 交易量
<1%
22°C
$290 交易量
<1%
23°C
$202 交易量
1%
24°C
$268 交易量
4%
25°C
$229 交易量
14%
26°C
$475 交易量
49%
27°C或以上
$1,146 交易量
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs points to a Mexico City high near 23–24°C on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain that reduce surface heating despite seasonal insolation levels. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns at the city's 2,240 m elevation, where afternoon convection often caps temperatures below clear-sky maxima. Trader emphasis on the 26°C and 27°C+ bins reflects model spread and the possibility of partial clearing allowing brief warming spikes, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current stable, moist air mass. Official station readings from Mexico City's network will resolve the market after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,751結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs points to a Mexico City high near 23–24°C on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain that reduce surface heating despite seasonal insolation levels. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns at the city's 2,240 m elevation, where afternoon convection often caps temperatures below clear-sky maxima. Trader emphasis on the 26°C and 27°C+ bins reflects model spread and the possibility of partial clearing allowing brief warming spikes, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current stable, moist air mass. Official station readings from Mexico City's network will resolve the market after sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,751結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 8:56 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF runs points to a Mexico City high near 23–24°C on September 20, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered light rain that reduce surface heating despite seasonal insolation levels. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns at the city's 2,240 m elevation, where afternoon convection often caps temperatures below clear-sky maxima. Trader emphasis on the 26°C and 27°C+ bins reflects model spread and the possibility of partial clearing allowing brief warming spikes, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current stable, moist air mass. Official station readings from Mexico City's network will resolve the market after sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions