National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in Miami on September 21 in the mid- to upper 70s, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, scattered thunderstorms maintaining cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, when average lows near 77°F, and recent observations show similar readings amid ongoing moisture from the Atlantic. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 74–77°F outcomes because updated model runs show minimal deviation expected before dawn, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger southerly flow could nudge readings slightly lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日邁阿密的最低溫度？
9月21日邁阿密的最低溫度？
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或以上
<1%
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 38%
78-79°F 14%
72-73°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
69°F或以下
$91 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$11 交易量
8%
72-73°F
$10 交易量
9%
74-75°F
$106 交易量
38%
76-77°F
$567 交易量
50%
78-79°F
$287 交易量
14%
80-81°F
$20 交易量
7%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$10 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$105 交易量
<1%
88°F或以上
$600 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in Miami on September 21 in the mid- to upper 70s, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, scattered thunderstorms maintaining cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, when average lows near 77°F, and recent observations show similar readings amid ongoing moisture from the Atlantic. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 74–77°F outcomes because updated model runs show minimal deviation expected before dawn, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger southerly flow could nudge readings slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,807結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in Miami on September 21 in the mid- to upper 70s, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, scattered thunderstorms maintaining cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, when average lows near 77°F, and recent observations show similar readings amid ongoing moisture from the Atlantic. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 74–77°F outcomes because updated model runs show minimal deviation expected before dawn, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger southerly flow could nudge readings slightly lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,807結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in Miami on September 21 in the mid- to upper 70s, driven by persistent subtropical humidity, scattered thunderstorms maintaining cloud cover, and light variable winds that limit radiational cooling. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, when average lows near 77°F, and recent observations show similar readings amid ongoing moisture from the Atlantic. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 74–77°F outcomes because updated model runs show minimal deviation expected before dawn, though any unexpected clear skies or stronger southerly flow could nudge readings slightly lower.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions