Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a San Francisco high near 68°F on September 22, reflecting a modest warming trend as subtropical ridging builds and compresses the marine layer. Persistent onshore southwest flow and residual cloud cover from the recent low are expected to limit daytime heating along the immediate coast, keeping readings below inland values while preventing stronger warming. Model consensus remains tight around the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited spread in guidance supporting the market’s concentration on the 66–71°F bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山9月22日的最高溫度？
舊金山9月22日的最高溫度？
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 26%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
14%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
華氏80度或以上
<1%
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 26%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
61°F或以下
$342 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$269 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$379 交易量
14%
66-67°F
$482 交易量
26%
68-69°F
$385 交易量
35%
70-71°F
$474 交易量
20%
72-73°F
$236 交易量
9%
74-75°F
$44 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$4 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$99 交易量
<1%
華氏80度或以上
$95 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a San Francisco high near 68°F on September 22, reflecting a modest warming trend as subtropical ridging builds and compresses the marine layer. Persistent onshore southwest flow and residual cloud cover from the recent low are expected to limit daytime heating along the immediate coast, keeping readings below inland values while preventing stronger warming. Model consensus remains tight around the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited spread in guidance supporting the market’s concentration on the 66–71°F bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,808結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a San Francisco high near 68°F on September 22, reflecting a modest warming trend as subtropical ridging builds and compresses the marine layer. Persistent onshore southwest flow and residual cloud cover from the recent low are expected to limit daytime heating along the immediate coast, keeping readings below inland values while preventing stronger warming. Model consensus remains tight around the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited spread in guidance supporting the market’s concentration on the 66–71°F bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,808結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 7:56 AM ETOfficial National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance point to a San Francisco high near 68°F on September 22, reflecting a modest warming trend as subtropical ridging builds and compresses the marine layer. Persistent onshore southwest flow and residual cloud cover from the recent low are expected to limit daytime heating along the immediate coast, keeping readings below inland values while preventing stronger warming. Model consensus remains tight around the mid-to-upper 60s, with limited spread in guidance supporting the market’s concentration on the 66–71°F bins. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions