Persistent rain and overcast skies from a coastal low-pressure system are capping New York City highs near 69–70°F on September 20, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models show southeast winds, high humidity, and widespread showers suppressing daytime warming well below the 74.8°F September average. Cooler air advection and cloud cover limit solar heating, while historical analogs for similar late-September setups rarely exceed 72°F. Updated model runs through the morning maintain this range, with minimal upward revisions expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月20日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月20日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 52%
68-69°F 32%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 9%
最新
$32,306 交易量
最新
$32,306 交易量
2026-09-20
攝氏59度或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
52%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
<1%
華氏78度或更高
<1%
70-71°F 52%
68-69°F 32%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 9%
最新
$32,306 交易量
最新
$32,306 交易量
2026-09-20
攝氏59度或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$111 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$131 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$6,847 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$2,929 交易量
9%
68-69°F
$5,676 交易量
32%
70-71°F
$7,507 交易量
52%
72-73°F
$4,824 交易量
12%
74-75°F
$2,728 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$1,173 交易量
<1%
華氏78度或更高
$302 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and overcast skies from a coastal low-pressure system are capping New York City highs near 69–70°F on September 20, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models show southeast winds, high humidity, and widespread showers suppressing daytime warming well below the 74.8°F September average. Cooler air advection and cloud cover limit solar heating, while historical analogs for similar late-September setups rarely exceed 72°F. Updated model runs through the morning maintain this range, with minimal upward revisions expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
交易量
$32,306結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and overcast skies from a coastal low-pressure system are capping New York City highs near 69–70°F on September 20, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models show southeast winds, high humidity, and widespread showers suppressing daytime warming well below the 74.8°F September average. Cooler air advection and cloud cover limit solar heating, while historical analogs for similar late-September setups rarely exceed 72°F. Updated model runs through the morning maintain this range, with minimal upward revisions expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,306結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 2:55 AM ETPersistent rain and overcast skies from a coastal low-pressure system are capping New York City highs near 69–70°F on September 20, aligning with the market’s leading 70–71°F outcome at 51.5% implied probability. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models show southeast winds, high humidity, and widespread showers suppressing daytime warming well below the 74.8°F September average. Cooler air advection and cloud cover limit solar heating, while historical analogs for similar late-September setups rarely exceed 72°F. Updated model runs through the morning maintain this range, with minimal upward revisions expected before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions