Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 20, 2026, most likely between 62°F and 66°F, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes in the 62–67°F bins, which together exceed 75% implied probability. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, but the current setup—marked by high humidity and frontal activity—has kept temperatures elevated relative to clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine the exact low as observations accumulate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日紐約市的最低溫度？
9月20日紐約市的最低溫度？
64-65°F 37%
62-63華氏度 22%
66-67°F 20%
58-59°F 14.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
55°F或以下
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
14%
60-61°F
10%
62-63華氏度
22%
64-65°F
37%
66-67°F
20%
68-69華氏度
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74度或更高
<1%
64-65°F 37%
62-63華氏度 22%
66-67°F 20%
58-59°F 14.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
55°F或以下
$41 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$31 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$268 交易量
14%
60-61°F
$114 交易量
10%
62-63華氏度
$1,799 交易量
22%
64-65°F
$1,192 交易量
37%
66-67°F
$2,334 交易量
20%
68-69華氏度
$1,689 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$51 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$31 交易量
<1%
華氏74度或更高
$44 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 20, 2026, most likely between 62°F and 66°F, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes in the 62–67°F bins, which together exceed 75% implied probability. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, but the current setup—marked by high humidity and frontal activity—has kept temperatures elevated relative to clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine the exact low as observations accumulate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,594結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 20, 2026, most likely between 62°F and 66°F, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes in the 62–67°F bins, which together exceed 75% implied probability. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, but the current setup—marked by high humidity and frontal activity—has kept temperatures elevated relative to clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine the exact low as observations accumulate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,594結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETForecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate a minimum temperature in New York City on September 20, 2026, most likely between 62°F and 66°F, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and southeast winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes in the 62–67°F bins, which together exceed 75% implied probability. Historical September averages near 60°F provide context, but the current setup—marked by high humidity and frontal activity—has kept temperatures elevated relative to clear-sky scenarios. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine the exact low as observations accumulate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions