Latest forecast models from regional agencies point to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Manila on September 20, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the leading implied probabilities. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 75–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to moderate peak heating, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty in the exact maximum. These conditions align with September climatology, where Manila highs typically range 30–32°C amid frequent convective activity. Model differences in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with limited upside risk above 34°C absent clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and morning observations on September 20 will refine the final reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月20日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
33°C 41%
32°C 34%
34°C 15%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
34%
33°C
41%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 34%
34°C 15%
31°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
28°C或以下
$425 交易量
1%
29°C
$22 交易量
2%
30°C
$429 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,830 交易量
7%
32°C
$1,664 交易量
34%
33°C
$2,404 交易量
41%
34°C
$782 交易量
15%
35°C
$306 交易量
3%
36°C
$0 交易量
2%
37°C
$117 交易量
<1%
38°C或以上
$181 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from regional agencies point to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Manila on September 20, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the leading implied probabilities. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 75–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to moderate peak heating, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty in the exact maximum. These conditions align with September climatology, where Manila highs typically range 30–32°C amid frequent convective activity. Model differences in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with limited upside risk above 34°C absent clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and morning observations on September 20 will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$8,158結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from regional agencies point to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Manila on September 20, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the leading implied probabilities. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 75–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to moderate peak heating, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty in the exact maximum. These conditions align with September climatology, where Manila highs typically range 30–32°C amid frequent convective activity. Model differences in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with limited upside risk above 34°C absent clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and morning observations on September 20 will refine the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,158結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETLatest forecast models from regional agencies point to a daytime high of 32–33°C in Manila on September 20, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the leading implied probabilities. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, high humidity near 75–85%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to moderate peak heating, while variable cloud cover introduces uncertainty in the exact maximum. These conditions align with September climatology, where Manila highs typically range 30–32°C amid frequent convective activity. Model differences in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight spread between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with limited upside risk above 34°C absent clearer skies. Updated PAGASA guidance and morning observations on September 20 will refine the final reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions