Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on September 18 projects an afternoon high in the upper 80s amid easterly flow, elevated humidity near 75 percent, and scattered thunderstorms that typically limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the late-September climatological average high of 89 °F while reducing the chance of exceeding 90 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 88–89 °F bin (42.5 percent) and 90–91 °F bin (29.5 percent) reflects this forecast consensus and historical frequency of highs near 88–90 °F, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final observed maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日邁阿密的最高溫度？
9月18日邁阿密的最高溫度？
88-89°F 43%
90-91°F 29%
86-87°F 15%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
77°F或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
43%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96°F或以上
1%
88-89°F 43%
90-91°F 29%
86-87°F 15%
92-93°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
77°F或以下
$183 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$127 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$65 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$114 交易量
5%
86-87°F
$215 交易量
15%
88-89°F
$295 交易量
43%
90-91°F
$465 交易量
29%
92-93°F
$203 交易量
6%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
2%
96°F或以上
$175 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on September 18 projects an afternoon high in the upper 80s amid easterly flow, elevated humidity near 75 percent, and scattered thunderstorms that typically limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the late-September climatological average high of 89 °F while reducing the chance of exceeding 90 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 88–89 °F bin (42.5 percent) and 90–91 °F bin (29.5 percent) reflects this forecast consensus and historical frequency of highs near 88–90 °F, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,843結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on September 18 projects an afternoon high in the upper 80s amid easterly flow, elevated humidity near 75 percent, and scattered thunderstorms that typically limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the late-September climatological average high of 89 °F while reducing the chance of exceeding 90 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 88–89 °F bin (42.5 percent) and 90–91 °F bin (29.5 percent) reflects this forecast consensus and historical frequency of highs near 88–90 °F, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,843結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Miami on September 18 projects an afternoon high in the upper 80s amid easterly flow, elevated humidity near 75 percent, and scattered thunderstorms that typically limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. These conditions align with the late-September climatological average high of 89 °F while reducing the chance of exceeding 90 °F. Trader consensus favoring the 88–89 °F bin (42.5 percent) and 90–91 °F bin (29.5 percent) reflects this forecast consensus and historical frequency of highs near 88–90 °F, tempered by uncertainty in exact convective timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the final observed maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions