Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City points to a September 16 high in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 80-81°F and 78-79°F ranges. Short-range ensembles show limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal frontal influence, though afternoon mixing and any increase in cloud cover could shift the maximum by a degree or two. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 76°F, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly consistent with late-summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月16日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月16日的最高溫度？
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
華氏69度或以下
5%
70-71°F
5%
72-73華氏度
8%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
49%
華氏82-83度
10%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
6%
華氏88度或以上
2%
80-81°F 49%
78-79°F 19%
76-77°F 16%
74-75°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
華氏69度或以下
$0 交易量
5%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
5%
72-73華氏度
$0 交易量
8%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
11%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
16%
78-79°F
$603 交易量
26%
80-81°F
$370 交易量
49%
華氏82-83度
$50 交易量
10%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
10%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
6%
華氏88度或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City points to a September 16 high in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 80-81°F and 78-79°F ranges. Short-range ensembles show limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal frontal influence, though afternoon mixing and any increase in cloud cover could shift the maximum by a degree or two. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 76°F, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly consistent with late-summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,024結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City points to a September 16 high in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 80-81°F and 78-79°F ranges. Short-range ensembles show limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal frontal influence, though afternoon mixing and any increase in cloud cover could shift the maximum by a degree or two. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 76°F, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly consistent with late-summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,024結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 2:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City points to a September 16 high in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 80-81°F and 78-79°F ranges. Short-range ensembles show limited spread due to stable high pressure and minimal frontal influence, though afternoon mixing and any increase in cloud cover could shift the maximum by a degree or two. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 76°F, so current conditions reflect a modest warm anomaly consistent with late-summer patterns. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for refining these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions