Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 26–28°C for Beijing on September 14 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.7°C for the date and follows recent days of 28–29°C readings amid stable autumn transition conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 27°C and 27.5% for 28°C, tracks these official guidance runs from agencies monitoring the region, though slight model spread on peak timing or boundary-layer mixing leaves room for a 26°C or 29°C outcome depending on final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日北京最高溫度？
9月14日北京最高溫度？
27°C 51%
28°C 27%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
最新
$10,412 交易量
最新
$10,412 交易量
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
10%
27°C
51%
28°C
27%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C或以上
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 27%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
最新
$10,412 交易量
最新
$10,412 交易量
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$253 交易量
<1%
22°C
$252 交易量
<1%
23°C
$253 交易量
<1%
24°C
$252 交易量
<1%
25°C
$573 交易量
2%
26°C
$1,458 交易量
10%
27°C
$2,850 交易量
51%
28°C
$2,060 交易量
27%
29°C
$2,008 交易量
7%
30°C
$307 交易量
2%
31°C或以上
$147 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 26–28°C for Beijing on September 14 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.7°C for the date and follows recent days of 28–29°C readings amid stable autumn transition conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 27°C and 27.5% for 28°C, tracks these official guidance runs from agencies monitoring the region, though slight model spread on peak timing or boundary-layer mixing leaves room for a 26°C or 29°C outcome depending on final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,412結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 26–28°C for Beijing on September 14 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.7°C for the date and follows recent days of 28–29°C readings amid stable autumn transition conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 27°C and 27.5% for 28°C, tracks these official guidance runs from agencies monitoring the region, though slight model spread on peak timing or boundary-layer mixing leaves room for a 26°C or 29°C outcome depending on final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,412結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from multiple sources converge on a daily high of 26–28°C for Beijing on September 14 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and high pressure, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 26.7°C for the date and follows recent days of 28–29°C readings amid stable autumn transition conditions. Trader consensus, reflected in the 49.5% implied probability for 27°C and 27.5% for 28°C, tracks these official guidance runs from agencies monitoring the region, though slight model spread on peak timing or boundary-layer mixing leaves room for a 26°C or 29°C outcome depending on final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions