Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market outcome. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the region, where September averages reach about 31°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea. Limited cloud cover and light winds prevented notable cooling, consistent with recent model runs showing stable thermal patterns. Trader positioning reflects strong confidence in these verified measurements, though rare post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically shift results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日香港最高溫度？
9月13日香港最高溫度？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$108,749 交易量
$108,749 交易量
2026-09-13
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$108,749 交易量
$108,749 交易量
2026-09-13
25°C或以下
$778 交易量
否
26°C
$1,505 交易量
否
27°C
$6,142 交易量
否
28°C
$17,643 交易量
否
29°C
$12,369 交易量
否
30°C
$14,137 交易量
否
31°C
$19,686 交易量
是
32°C
$24,767 交易量
否
33°C
$9,053 交易量
否
34°C
$2,516 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$153 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market outcome. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the region, where September averages reach about 31°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea. Limited cloud cover and light winds prevented notable cooling, consistent with recent model runs showing stable thermal patterns. Trader positioning reflects strong confidence in these verified measurements, though rare post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically shift results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$108,749結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market outcome. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the region, where September averages reach about 31°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea. Limited cloud cover and light winds prevented notable cooling, consistent with recent model runs showing stable thermal patterns. Trader positioning reflects strong confidence in these verified measurements, though rare post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically shift results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$108,749結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 31°C on September 13, 2026, driving the near-certain market outcome. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in the region, where September averages reach about 31°C under the influence of subtropical high pressure and warm sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea. Limited cloud cover and light winds prevented notable cooling, consistent with recent model runs showing stable thermal patterns. Trader positioning reflects strong confidence in these verified measurements, though rare post-event data revisions or station-specific anomalies could theoretically shift results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions