Incoming cold air from northern China, combined with widespread rainfall, is the dominant driver suppressing Wuhan's daytime highs on September 17, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and multiple models converging on a maximum near 22°C amid northeast winds and persistent cloud cover. This marks a sharp 8–10°C drop from mid-September peaks above 30°C, consistent with typical early-autumn cold-surge patterns in the Yangtze River valley. Consensus across sources places the likely range at 21–24°C, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C and 23°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 20°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日武漢氣溫最高？
9月17日武漢氣溫最高？
22°C 34%
23°C 23%
21°C 18%
24°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
20°C或以下
6%
21°C
18%
22°C
34%
23°C
23%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
22°C 34%
23°C 23%
21°C 18%
24°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
20°C或以下
$1,672 交易量
6%
21°C
$1,275 交易量
18%
22°C
$2,013 交易量
34%
23°C
$425 交易量
23%
24°C
$763 交易量
15%
25°C
$519 交易量
5%
26°C
$358 交易量
2%
27°C
$46 交易量
1%
28°C
$233 交易量
1%
29°C
$263 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$254 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air from northern China, combined with widespread rainfall, is the dominant driver suppressing Wuhan's daytime highs on September 17, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and multiple models converging on a maximum near 22°C amid northeast winds and persistent cloud cover. This marks a sharp 8–10°C drop from mid-September peaks above 30°C, consistent with typical early-autumn cold-surge patterns in the Yangtze River valley. Consensus across sources places the likely range at 21–24°C, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C and 23°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 20°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,820結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air from northern China, combined with widespread rainfall, is the dominant driver suppressing Wuhan's daytime highs on September 17, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and multiple models converging on a maximum near 22°C amid northeast winds and persistent cloud cover. This marks a sharp 8–10°C drop from mid-September peaks above 30°C, consistent with typical early-autumn cold-surge patterns in the Yangtze River valley. Consensus across sources places the likely range at 21–24°C, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C and 23°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 20°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,820結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETIncoming cold air from northern China, combined with widespread rainfall, is the dominant driver suppressing Wuhan's daytime highs on September 17, with official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and multiple models converging on a maximum near 22°C amid northeast winds and persistent cloud cover. This marks a sharp 8–10°C drop from mid-September peaks above 30°C, consistent with typical early-autumn cold-surge patterns in the Yangtze River valley. Consensus across sources places the likely range at 21–24°C, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C and 23°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 20°C. Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions