Recent official forecasts for São Paulo show overnight lows clustering between 12–14°C under persistent southeast winds, high pressure around 1026–1027 hPa, and extensive low cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. INMET and IPMet guidance points to a minimum near 12–13°C, while some international models (ECMWF/GFS analogs) allow brief clearing that could dip to 11°C or hold at 14°C depending on exact timing of any breaks. These small differences in cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even market-implied odds across 11–13°C, with traders weighting the latest regional model runs and real-time observations from Congonhas and other stations. Updated INMET bulletins and hourly data through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日聖保羅最低溫度？
9月17日聖保羅最低溫度？
10°C 12%
11°C 12%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
12%
11°C
12%
12°C
50%
13°C
51%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
10°C 12%
11°C 12%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
8°C或以下
$41 交易量
1%
9°C
$8 交易量
1%
10°C
$0 交易量
12%
11°C
$88 交易量
12%
12°C
$121 交易量
50%
13°C
$105 交易量
51%
14°C
$797 交易量
<1%
15°C
$37 交易量
<1%
16°C
$37 交易量
<1%
17°C
$37 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$42 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for São Paulo show overnight lows clustering between 12–14°C under persistent southeast winds, high pressure around 1026–1027 hPa, and extensive low cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. INMET and IPMet guidance points to a minimum near 12–13°C, while some international models (ECMWF/GFS analogs) allow brief clearing that could dip to 11°C or hold at 14°C depending on exact timing of any breaks. These small differences in cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even market-implied odds across 11–13°C, with traders weighting the latest regional model runs and real-time observations from Congonhas and other stations. Updated INMET bulletins and hourly data through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,299結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for São Paulo show overnight lows clustering between 12–14°C under persistent southeast winds, high pressure around 1026–1027 hPa, and extensive low cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. INMET and IPMet guidance points to a minimum near 12–13°C, while some international models (ECMWF/GFS analogs) allow brief clearing that could dip to 11°C or hold at 14°C depending on exact timing of any breaks. These small differences in cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even market-implied odds across 11–13°C, with traders weighting the latest regional model runs and real-time observations from Congonhas and other stations. Updated INMET bulletins and hourly data through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,299結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ETRecent official forecasts for São Paulo show overnight lows clustering between 12–14°C under persistent southeast winds, high pressure around 1026–1027 hPa, and extensive low cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. INMET and IPMet guidance points to a minimum near 12–13°C, while some international models (ECMWF/GFS analogs) allow brief clearing that could dip to 11°C or hold at 14°C depending on exact timing of any breaks. These small differences in cloud persistence and boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even market-implied odds across 11–13°C, with traders weighting the latest regional model runs and real-time observations from Congonhas and other stations. Updated INMET bulletins and hourly data through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions