Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 19 points to clear to mostly clear skies and persistent southerly flow, supporting overnight lows near 77°F and positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. These conditions follow several days of above-average heat that has limited radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the late-September climatological average of 69°F. Secondary bins around 76-77°F and 80-81°F reflect minor ensemble spread in dewpoint and wind forecasts, while lower probabilities for 74°F or below align with the absence of any incoming frontal system through the next 24 hours. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日達拉斯的最低溫度？
9月19日達拉斯的最低溫度？
78-79°F 53%
82-83°F 32%
76-77°F 25%
80-81°F 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75華氏度
7%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
53%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
32%
84-85°F
11%
86華氏度或以上
3%
78-79°F 53%
82-83°F 32%
76-77°F 25%
80-81°F 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
67°F或以下
$0 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
2%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
7%
74-75華氏度
$0 交易量
7%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
25%
78-79°F
$47 交易量
53%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
21%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
32%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
11%
86華氏度或以上
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 19 points to clear to mostly clear skies and persistent southerly flow, supporting overnight lows near 77°F and positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. These conditions follow several days of above-average heat that has limited radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the late-September climatological average of 69°F. Secondary bins around 76-77°F and 80-81°F reflect minor ensemble spread in dewpoint and wind forecasts, while lower probabilities for 74°F or below align with the absence of any incoming frontal system through the next 24 hours. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$47結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 19 points to clear to mostly clear skies and persistent southerly flow, supporting overnight lows near 77°F and positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. These conditions follow several days of above-average heat that has limited radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the late-September climatological average of 69°F. Secondary bins around 76-77°F and 80-81°F reflect minor ensemble spread in dewpoint and wind forecasts, while lower probabilities for 74°F or below align with the absence of any incoming frontal system through the next 24 hours. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on September 19 points to clear to mostly clear skies and persistent southerly flow, supporting overnight lows near 77°F and positioning the 78-79°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. These conditions follow several days of above-average heat that has limited radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the late-September climatological average of 69°F. Secondary bins around 76-77°F and 80-81°F reflect minor ensemble spread in dewpoint and wind forecasts, while lower probabilities for 74°F or below align with the absence of any incoming frontal system through the next 24 hours. Updated NWS point forecasts and evening model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions