Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 20–21°C in London on September 18, driven by a moderate southwesterly flow with increasing afternoon cloud but minimal rain suppression of peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late September, when daily maxima typically range 18–22°C under variable Atlantic influences, and current conditions show no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection to push readings higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 20°C and 27.5% for 21°C incorporates these stable outlooks, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below account for minor model spread in cloud cover or wind effects that could shave 1°C from the maximum. Updated guidance expected overnight may refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月18日倫敦的最高溫度？
20°C 61%
21°C 27%
19°C 13%
18°C 2%
最新
$16,730 交易量
最新
$16,730 交易量
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
61%
21°C
27%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
20°C 61%
21°C 27%
19°C 13%
18°C 2%
最新
$16,730 交易量
最新
$16,730 交易量
2026-09-18
15°C或以下
$197 交易量
<1%
16°C
$251 交易量
<1%
17°C
$183 交易量
<1%
18°C
$999 交易量
2%
19°C
$3,112 交易量
13%
20°C
$4,589 交易量
61%
21°C
$4,751 交易量
27%
22°C
$1,085 交易量
1%
23°C
$747 交易量
<1%
24°C
$253 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$562 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 20–21°C in London on September 18, driven by a moderate southwesterly flow with increasing afternoon cloud but minimal rain suppression of peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late September, when daily maxima typically range 18–22°C under variable Atlantic influences, and current conditions show no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection to push readings higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 20°C and 27.5% for 21°C incorporates these stable outlooks, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below account for minor model spread in cloud cover or wind effects that could shave 1°C from the maximum. Updated guidance expected overnight may refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$16,730結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 20–21°C in London on September 18, driven by a moderate southwesterly flow with increasing afternoon cloud but minimal rain suppression of peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late September, when daily maxima typically range 18–22°C under variable Atlantic influences, and current conditions show no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection to push readings higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 20°C and 27.5% for 21°C incorporates these stable outlooks, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below account for minor model spread in cloud cover or wind effects that could shave 1°C from the maximum. Updated guidance expected overnight may refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,730結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Met Office and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 20–21°C in London on September 18, driven by a moderate southwesterly flow with increasing afternoon cloud but minimal rain suppression of peak temperatures. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-to-late September, when daily maxima typically range 18–22°C under variable Atlantic influences, and current conditions show no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection to push readings higher. Trader consensus reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 20°C and 27.5% for 21°C incorporates these stable outlooks, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below account for minor model spread in cloud cover or wind effects that could shave 1°C from the maximum. Updated guidance expected overnight may refine the exact peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions