Forecasts from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum near 14–16°C on September 19 under mild spring conditions, with northerly to easterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and no strong cold advection expected. This consensus supports the elevated market-implied odds for the 14°C bin while the near-equal probabilities attached to 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher reflect remaining ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 11–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly above the long-term baseline. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing on the 19th will provide the final data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
9月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
13°C 39%
17°C 39%
12°C 38%
10°C或以下 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
10°C或以下
30%
11°C
17%
12°C
38%
13°C
39%
14°C
30%
15°C
28%
16°C
24%
17°C
39%
18°C
17%
19°C
13%
20°C或更高
-
13°C 39%
17°C 39%
12°C 38%
10°C或以下 30%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
10°C或以下
$61 交易量
30%
11°C
$0 交易量
17%
12°C
$0 交易量
38%
13°C
$0 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
30%
15°C
$16 交易量
28%
16°C
$0 交易量
24%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
13%
20°C或更高
$320 交易量
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum near 14–16°C on September 19 under mild spring conditions, with northerly to easterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and no strong cold advection expected. This consensus supports the elevated market-implied odds for the 14°C bin while the near-equal probabilities attached to 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher reflect remaining ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 11–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly above the long-term baseline. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing on the 19th will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$397結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum near 14–16°C on September 19 under mild spring conditions, with northerly to easterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and no strong cold advection expected. This consensus supports the elevated market-implied odds for the 14°C bin while the near-equal probabilities attached to 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher reflect remaining ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 11–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly above the long-term baseline. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing on the 19th will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$397結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETForecasts from multiple models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum near 14–16°C on September 19 under mild spring conditions, with northerly to easterly flow, mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, and no strong cold advection expected. This consensus supports the elevated market-implied odds for the 14°C bin while the near-equal probabilities attached to 10°C-or-below and 20°C-or-higher reflect remaining ensemble spread in overnight radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September minima average around 11–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly above the long-term baseline. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing on the 19th will provide the final data for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions