Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Houston high temperature on September 17 near the upper 80s to low 90s, with ensemble spreads creating the close contest between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon convective cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of a subtropical ridge are driving forecast uncertainty, while light winds and moderate humidity levels limit extreme heating. Updated short-range guidance shows limited run-to-run variability, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities. Traders will watch the next model cycle and official forecast discussion for any shifts in maximum temperature guidance before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日休斯敦的最高溫度？
9月17日休斯敦的最高溫度？
88-89華氏度 34%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85華氏度
2%
86-87°F
18%
88-89華氏度
34%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
華氏98度或以上
1%
88-89華氏度 34%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
79°F或以下
$319 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$329 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$63 交易量
1%
84-85華氏度
$872 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$988 交易量
18%
88-89華氏度
$1,591 交易量
34%
90-91°F
$699 交易量
31%
92-93°F
$167 交易量
10%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$0 交易量
2%
華氏98度或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Houston high temperature on September 17 near the upper 80s to low 90s, with ensemble spreads creating the close contest between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon convective cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of a subtropical ridge are driving forecast uncertainty, while light winds and moderate humidity levels limit extreme heating. Updated short-range guidance shows limited run-to-run variability, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities. Traders will watch the next model cycle and official forecast discussion for any shifts in maximum temperature guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,028結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Houston high temperature on September 17 near the upper 80s to low 90s, with ensemble spreads creating the close contest between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon convective cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of a subtropical ridge are driving forecast uncertainty, while light winds and moderate humidity levels limit extreme heating. Updated short-range guidance shows limited run-to-run variability, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities. Traders will watch the next model cycle and official forecast discussion for any shifts in maximum temperature guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,028結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Houston high temperature on September 17 near the upper 80s to low 90s, with ensemble spreads creating the close contest between the 88-89°F and 90-91°F outcomes. Subtle differences in afternoon convective cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of a subtropical ridge are driving forecast uncertainty, while light winds and moderate humidity levels limit extreme heating. Updated short-range guidance shows limited run-to-run variability, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities. Traders will watch the next model cycle and official forecast discussion for any shifts in maximum temperature guidance before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions