Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 94–95°F for Houston on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, southeasterly flow, and strong September insolation under partly cloudy skies with only a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk. This setup favors the market's leading 94–95°F bin at 54% implied probability, with 92–93°F as a close secondary outcome if cloud cover or convection increases. Typical late-summer Gulf moisture and heat indices above 100°F reinforce elevated readings, while historical September averages near 90°F provide context for the current above-normal pattern. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected before resolution, keeping model spread narrow ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日休斯敦的最高溫度？
9月16日休斯敦的最高溫度？
94-95華氏度 54%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 16%
88-89°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
81°F或以下
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
28%
94-95華氏度
54%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
3%
華氏100度或以上
2%
94-95華氏度 54%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 16%
88-89°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
81°F或以下
$224 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$193 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$624 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$357 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$188 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$467 交易量
3%
92-93°F
$1,994 交易量
28%
94-95華氏度
$1,270 交易量
54%
96-97°F
$2,611 交易量
16%
98-99°F
$214 交易量
3%
華氏100度或以上
$170 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 94–95°F for Houston on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, southeasterly flow, and strong September insolation under partly cloudy skies with only a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk. This setup favors the market's leading 94–95°F bin at 54% implied probability, with 92–93°F as a close secondary outcome if cloud cover or convection increases. Typical late-summer Gulf moisture and heat indices above 100°F reinforce elevated readings, while historical September averages near 90°F provide context for the current above-normal pattern. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected before resolution, keeping model spread narrow ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,314結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 94–95°F for Houston on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, southeasterly flow, and strong September insolation under partly cloudy skies with only a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk. This setup favors the market's leading 94–95°F bin at 54% implied probability, with 92–93°F as a close secondary outcome if cloud cover or convection increases. Typical late-summer Gulf moisture and heat indices above 100°F reinforce elevated readings, while historical September averages near 90°F provide context for the current above-normal pattern. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected before resolution, keeping model spread narrow ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,314結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 3:56 AM ETForecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 94–95°F for Houston on September 16, driven by persistent subtropical ridging, southeasterly flow, and strong September insolation under partly cloudy skies with only a modest afternoon thunderstorm risk. This setup favors the market's leading 94–95°F bin at 54% implied probability, with 92–93°F as a close secondary outcome if cloud cover or convection increases. Typical late-summer Gulf moisture and heat indices above 100°F reinforce elevated readings, while historical September averages near 90°F provide context for the current above-normal pattern. No significant frontal passages or tropical influences are expected before resolution, keeping model spread narrow ahead of final observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions