**Forecast models from sources including PAGASA-influenced outlooks and international services point to a daytime high near 30–32°C for Manila on September 15, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds that limit extreme heating.** Cloud cover and rainfall expected through the afternoon moderate peak temperatures below seasonal extremes, while the urban heat island and dew points around 25°C support values in the low 30s. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, with current model consensus favoring 32–33°C as the most probable maximum before any evening cooling. Traders appear to weight these stable tropical patterns heavily, as fresh model runs and official briefings on steering patterns or convective activity could refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月15日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
33°C 49%
32°C 34%
31°C 9%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
34%
33°C
49%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 49%
32°C 34%
31°C 9%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
27°C或以下
$66 交易量
<1%
28°C
$20 交易量
<1%
29°C
$95 交易量
<1%
30°C
$465 交易量
3%
31°C
$1,886 交易量
9%
32°C
$1,195 交易量
34%
33°C
$2,881 交易量
49%
34°C
$868 交易量
7%
35°C
$522 交易量
<1%
36°C
$66 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$16 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including PAGASA-influenced outlooks and international services point to a daytime high near 30–32°C for Manila on September 15, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds that limit extreme heating.**
Cloud cover and rainfall expected through the afternoon moderate peak temperatures below seasonal extremes, while the urban heat island and dew points around 25°C support values in the low 30s. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, with current model consensus favoring 32–33°C as the most probable maximum before any evening cooling. Traders appear to weight these stable tropical patterns heavily, as fresh model runs and official briefings on steering patterns or convective activity could refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
交易量
$8,080結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including PAGASA-influenced outlooks and international services point to a daytime high near 30–32°C for Manila on September 15, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds that limit extreme heating.**
Cloud cover and rainfall expected through the afternoon moderate peak temperatures below seasonal extremes, while the urban heat island and dew points around 25°C support values in the low 30s. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, with current model consensus favoring 32–33°C as the most probable maximum before any evening cooling. Traders appear to weight these stable tropical patterns heavily, as fresh model runs and official briefings on steering patterns or convective activity could refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,080結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET**Forecast models from sources including PAGASA-influenced outlooks and international services point to a daytime high near 30–32°C for Manila on September 15, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light variable winds that limit extreme heating.** Cloud cover and rainfall expected through the afternoon moderate peak temperatures below seasonal extremes, while the urban heat island and dew points around 25°C support values in the low 30s. Historical September averages near 31°C provide baseline context, with current model consensus favoring 32–33°C as the most probable maximum before any evening cooling. Traders appear to weight these stable tropical patterns heavily, as fresh model runs and official briefings on steering patterns or convective activity could refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions