Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 25–27°C for Incheon on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with northwest flow and light winds, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn conditions, where typical September highs near 26°C reflect diminishing solar insolation and stable high-pressure dominance without active frontal systems or typhoon influences. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing sustain secondary probabilities for 25°C and 27°C. Updated KMA and international guidance expected overnight will likely refine these trader-consensus odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
26°C 53%
25°C 24%
27°C 19%
24°C 7%
最新
$28,753 交易量
最新
$28,753 交易量
2026-09-14
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
53%
27°C
19%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 24%
27°C 19%
24°C 7%
最新
$28,753 交易量
最新
$28,753 交易量
2026-09-14
20°C或以下
$538 交易量
<1%
21°C
$2,090 交易量
<1%
22°C
$991 交易量
1%
23°C
$2,884 交易量
2%
24°C
$5,033 交易量
7%
25°C
$5,253 交易量
24%
26°C
$5,444 交易量
53%
27°C
$3,700 交易量
19%
28°C
$2,119 交易量
1%
29°C
$625 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$77 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 25–27°C for Incheon on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with northwest flow and light winds, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn conditions, where typical September highs near 26°C reflect diminishing solar insolation and stable high-pressure dominance without active frontal systems or typhoon influences. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing sustain secondary probabilities for 25°C and 27°C. Updated KMA and international guidance expected overnight will likely refine these trader-consensus odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,753結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 25–27°C for Incheon on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with northwest flow and light winds, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn conditions, where typical September highs near 26°C reflect diminishing solar insolation and stable high-pressure dominance without active frontal systems or typhoon influences. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing sustain secondary probabilities for 25°C and 27°C. Updated KMA and international guidance expected overnight will likely refine these trader-consensus odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,753結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 25–27°C for Incheon on September 14 under partly cloudy skies with northwest flow and light winds, positioning 26°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. This aligns with the seasonal transition to cooler autumn conditions, where typical September highs near 26°C reflect diminishing solar insolation and stable high-pressure dominance without active frontal systems or typhoon influences. Ensemble spreads and minor model disagreements around cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing sustain secondary probabilities for 25°C and 27°C. Updated KMA and international guidance expected overnight will likely refine these trader-consensus odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions