**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated on September 12, indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 most likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C and 21°C.** A stable westerly flow of mild maritime air from the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and light rain or drizzle, is limiting daytime solar heating and preventing significant warming. Surface pressures near 1020 hPa and northwest winds of 10–15 mph further moderate temperatures, consistent with the climatological average high of 19.5°C for the date. No strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection is present to push readings toward 22°C or above, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Overnight lows in the mid-teens and persistent moisture support only modest afternoon peaks, with the latest model consensus showing little shift from prior runs. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 20–21°C range as the resolution window approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月13日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
21°C 61%
20°C 35%
19°C 4%
22°C 4%
最新
$13,919 交易量
最新
$13,919 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
35%
21°C
61%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
21°C 61%
20°C 35%
19°C 4%
22°C 4%
最新
$13,919 交易量
最新
$13,919 交易量
2026-09-13
14°C或以下
$137 交易量
<1%
15°C
$121 交易量
<1%
16°C
$887 交易量
<1%
17°C
$25 交易量
<1%
18°C
$260 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,939 交易量
4%
20°C
$3,374 交易量
35%
21°C
$3,927 交易量
61%
22°C
$2,246 交易量
4%
23°C
$457 交易量
<1%
24°C或以上
$546 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated on September 12, indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 most likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C and 21°C.**
A stable westerly flow of mild maritime air from the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and light rain or drizzle, is limiting daytime solar heating and preventing significant warming. Surface pressures near 1020 hPa and northwest winds of 10–15 mph further moderate temperatures, consistent with the climatological average high of 19.5°C for the date. No strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection is present to push readings toward 22°C or above, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Overnight lows in the mid-teens and persistent moisture support only modest afternoon peaks, with the latest model consensus showing little shift from prior runs. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 20–21°C range as the resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$13,919結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated on September 12, indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 most likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C and 21°C.**
A stable westerly flow of mild maritime air from the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and light rain or drizzle, is limiting daytime solar heating and preventing significant warming. Surface pressures near 1020 hPa and northwest winds of 10–15 mph further moderate temperatures, consistent with the climatological average high of 19.5°C for the date. No strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection is present to push readings toward 22°C or above, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Overnight lows in the mid-teens and persistent moisture support only modest afternoon peaks, with the latest model consensus showing little shift from prior runs. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 20–21°C range as the resolution window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,919結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models from multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs updated on September 12, indicate a highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13 most likely between 19–21°C, aligning closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20°C and 21°C.** A stable westerly flow of mild maritime air from the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and light rain or drizzle, is limiting daytime solar heating and preventing significant warming. Surface pressures near 1020 hPa and northwest winds of 10–15 mph further moderate temperatures, consistent with the climatological average high of 19.5°C for the date. No strong high-pressure ridge or southerly advection is present to push readings toward 22°C or above, keeping those outcomes at low implied probabilities. Overnight lows in the mid-teens and persistent moisture support only modest afternoon peaks, with the latest model consensus showing little shift from prior runs. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 20–21°C range as the resolution window approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions