Current numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 14 most likely between 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This mild air advection from the south supports values above the 19.4°C climatological average high, while persistent cloud cover and limited insolation cap stronger warming. Model runs show close agreement on afternoon peaks near 20–22°C, creating a tight probability distribution that aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (42%) over 23°C (35.5%). Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact high by 1°C, with updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
9月14日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
22°C 45%
23°C 31%
21°C 14%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
14%
22°C
45%
23°C
31%
24°C
9%
25°C
2%
26°C或更高
2%
22°C 45%
23°C 31%
21°C 14%
24°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
16°C或以下
$153 交易量
<1%
17°C
$339 交易量
<1%
18°C
$181 交易量
1%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$196 交易量
3%
21°C
$304 交易量
14%
22°C
$248 交易量
45%
23°C
$613 交易量
31%
24°C
$577 交易量
9%
25°C
$118 交易量
2%
26°C或更高
$156 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 14 most likely between 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This mild air advection from the south supports values above the 19.4°C climatological average high, while persistent cloud cover and limited insolation cap stronger warming. Model runs show close agreement on afternoon peaks near 20–22°C, creating a tight probability distribution that aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (42%) over 23°C (35.5%). Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact high by 1°C, with updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,885結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 14 most likely between 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This mild air advection from the south supports values above the 19.4°C climatological average high, while persistent cloud cover and limited insolation cap stronger warming. Model runs show close agreement on afternoon peaks near 20–22°C, creating a tight probability distribution that aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (42%) over 23°C (35.5%). Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact high by 1°C, with updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,885結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature in Amsterdam on September 14 most likely between 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This mild air advection from the south supports values above the 19.4°C climatological average high, while persistent cloud cover and limited insolation cap stronger warming. Model runs show close agreement on afternoon peaks near 20–22°C, creating a tight probability distribution that aligns with market-implied odds favoring 22°C (42%) over 23°C (35.5%). Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact high by 1°C, with updated 00Z and 12Z model guidance expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions