Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Busan on September 13 rests on consistent numerical weather prediction outputs showing afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow near 5–8 mph, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit further warming. Regional analyses place the day within typical mid-September climatology for the southeast Korean Peninsula, where sea-breeze moderation and subsidence keep extremes close to the 29°C historical median. Model agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs, combined with observed morning temperatures climbing steadily toward 27–28°C by midday, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unforecast increase in cloud cover or an abrupt wind shift could realistically cap the reading below 29°C or push it to 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日釜山的最高溫度？
9月13日釜山的最高溫度？
30°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$29,561 交易量
$29,561 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
30°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$29,561 交易量
$29,561 交易量
2026-09-13
26°C或以下
$12,030 交易量
<1%
27°C
$668 交易量
<1%
28°C
$692 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,460 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,676 交易量
100%
31°C
$3,271 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,622 交易量
<1%
33°C
$1,290 交易量
<1%
34°C
$236 交易量
<1%
35°C
$694 交易量
<1%
36°C或以上
$63 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Busan on September 13 rests on consistent numerical weather prediction outputs showing afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow near 5–8 mph, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit further warming. Regional analyses place the day within typical mid-September climatology for the southeast Korean Peninsula, where sea-breeze moderation and subsidence keep extremes close to the 29°C historical median. Model agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs, combined with observed morning temperatures climbing steadily toward 27–28°C by midday, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unforecast increase in cloud cover or an abrupt wind shift could realistically cap the reading below 29°C or push it to 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$29,561結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Busan on September 13 rests on consistent numerical weather prediction outputs showing afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow near 5–8 mph, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit further warming. Regional analyses place the day within typical mid-September climatology for the southeast Korean Peninsula, where sea-breeze moderation and subsidence keep extremes close to the 29°C historical median. Model agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs, combined with observed morning temperatures climbing steadily toward 27–28°C by midday, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unforecast increase in cloud cover or an abrupt wind shift could realistically cap the reading below 29°C or push it to 31°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,561結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETTrader consensus on a 30°C high for Busan on September 13 rests on consistent numerical weather prediction outputs showing afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow near 5–8 mph, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit further warming. Regional analyses place the day within typical mid-September climatology for the southeast Korean Peninsula, where sea-breeze moderation and subsidence keep extremes close to the 29°C historical median. Model agreement across GFS and ECMWF runs, combined with observed morning temperatures climbing steadily toward 27–28°C by midday, underpins the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unforecast increase in cloud cover or an abrupt wind shift could realistically cap the reading below 29°C or push it to 31°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions