Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds over Jinan on September 14, supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C amid dry air masses with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under high pressure, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting evaporative cooling, while historical September averages hover around 26–28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 30–31°C because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could push readings to 32°C. Traders weigh these variables against the narrow resolution thresholds, as even modest forecast adjustments from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration may shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日濟南氣溫最高？
9月14日濟南氣溫最高？
31°C 38%
30°C 30%
29°C 18%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
4%
27°C
10%
28°C
11%
29°C
18%
30°C
30%
31°C
38%
32°C
18%
33°C
11%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C或以上
1%
31°C 38%
30°C 30%
29°C 18%
32°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
27°C
$0 交易量
10%
28°C
$0 交易量
11%
29°C
$56 交易量
18%
30°C
$65 交易量
30%
31°C
$32 交易量
38%
32°C
$22 交易量
18%
33°C
$0 交易量
11%
34°C
$0 交易量
7%
35°C
$0 交易量
4%
36°C或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds over Jinan on September 14, supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C amid dry air masses with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under high pressure, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting evaporative cooling, while historical September averages hover around 26–28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 30–31°C because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could push readings to 32°C. Traders weigh these variables against the narrow resolution thresholds, as even modest forecast adjustments from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration may shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$175結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds over Jinan on September 14, supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C amid dry air masses with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under high pressure, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting evaporative cooling, while historical September averages hover around 26–28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 30–31°C because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could push readings to 32°C. Traders weigh these variables against the narrow resolution thresholds, as even modest forecast adjustments from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration may shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$175結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate mostly sunny skies and light northerly winds over Jinan on September 14, supporting peak temperatures near 30–31°C amid dry air masses with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. These conditions favor strong daytime heating under high pressure, with minimal cloud cover or moisture limiting evaporative cooling, while historical September averages hover around 26–28°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 30–31°C because short-range ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though slight upward revisions in afternoon insolation or boundary-layer mixing could push readings to 32°C. Traders weigh these variables against the narrow resolution thresholds, as even modest forecast adjustments from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration may shift probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions