Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a September 13 high in the upper 70s to low 80s as morning thunderstorms and thick cloud cover limit solar heating, while any afternoon clearing allows modest warming. High humidity and light winds further moderate the peak, keeping most guidance clustered near 79–81 °F. The narrow spread between 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly when rain ends and how much insolation follows; earlier clearing or breaks in clouds could add 1–2 °F, while lingering overcast or heavier totals would cap the reading. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading bins most heavily ahead of the next model update and official NWS forecast discussion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月13日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月13日的最高溫度？
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
73°F 或以下
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
3%
86-87華氏度
2%
88-89華氏度
<1%
90-91華氏度
<1%
華氏92度或以上
1%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 31%
82-83°F 18%
76-77°F 12%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
73°F 或以下
$138 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$785 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$1,439 交易量
12%
78-79°F
$2,560 交易量
31%
80-81°F
$933 交易量
33%
82-83°F
$1,510 交易量
18%
84-85°F
$972 交易量
3%
86-87華氏度
$91 交易量
2%
88-89華氏度
$222 交易量
<1%
90-91華氏度
$137 交易量
<1%
華氏92度或以上
$382 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a September 13 high in the upper 70s to low 80s as morning thunderstorms and thick cloud cover limit solar heating, while any afternoon clearing allows modest warming. High humidity and light winds further moderate the peak, keeping most guidance clustered near 79–81 °F. The narrow spread between 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly when rain ends and how much insolation follows; earlier clearing or breaks in clouds could add 1–2 °F, while lingering overcast or heavier totals would cap the reading. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading bins most heavily ahead of the next model update and official NWS forecast discussion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$9,169結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a September 13 high in the upper 70s to low 80s as morning thunderstorms and thick cloud cover limit solar heating, while any afternoon clearing allows modest warming. High humidity and light winds further moderate the peak, keeping most guidance clustered near 79–81 °F. The narrow spread between 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly when rain ends and how much insolation follows; earlier clearing or breaks in clouds could add 1–2 °F, while lingering overcast or heavier totals would cap the reading. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading bins most heavily ahead of the next model update and official NWS forecast discussion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,169結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and private model runs point to a September 13 high in the upper 70s to low 80s as morning thunderstorms and thick cloud cover limit solar heating, while any afternoon clearing allows modest warming. High humidity and light winds further moderate the peak, keeping most guidance clustered near 79–81 °F. The narrow spread between 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F outcomes reflects uncertainty in exactly when rain ends and how much insolation follows; earlier clearing or breaks in clouds could add 1–2 °F, while lingering overcast or heavier totals would cap the reading. Traders are therefore weighting the two leading bins most heavily ahead of the next model update and official NWS forecast discussion.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions