Official temperature measurements from Chicago-area stations, including O’Hare International Airport under NOAA oversight, recorded a daily high of 70–71°F on September 14, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with observed surface conditions, including light winds and moderate humidity that limited afternoon warming after a cooler morning start. Historical September averages for the region hover near 75°F, yet localized cloud cover and a passing frontal boundary suppressed temperatures below typical late-summer peaks. While final quality-controlled data releases could theoretically shift a reading by a degree, such revisions are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed across multiple sensors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月14日芝加哥的最高溫度？
70-71°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$42,681 交易量
$42,681 交易量
2026-09-14
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79華氏度
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或以上
否
70-71°F 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$42,681 交易量
$42,681 交易量
2026-09-14
63°F或以下
$1,278 交易量
否
64-65°F
$1,409 交易量
否
66-67°F
$2,991 交易量
否
68-69°F
$7,657 交易量
否
70-71°F
$9,358 交易量
是
72-73°F
$7,780 交易量
否
74-75°F
$6,180 交易量
否
76-77°F
$2,537 交易量
否
78-79華氏度
$2,159 交易量
否
80-81°F
$716 交易量
否
82°F或以上
$616 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from Chicago-area stations, including O’Hare International Airport under NOAA oversight, recorded a daily high of 70–71°F on September 14, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with observed surface conditions, including light winds and moderate humidity that limited afternoon warming after a cooler morning start. Historical September averages for the region hover near 75°F, yet localized cloud cover and a passing frontal boundary suppressed temperatures below typical late-summer peaks. While final quality-controlled data releases could theoretically shift a reading by a degree, such revisions are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed across multiple sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$42,681結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature measurements from Chicago-area stations, including O’Hare International Airport under NOAA oversight, recorded a daily high of 70–71°F on September 14, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with observed surface conditions, including light winds and moderate humidity that limited afternoon warming after a cooler morning start. Historical September averages for the region hover near 75°F, yet localized cloud cover and a passing frontal boundary suppressed temperatures below typical late-summer peaks. While final quality-controlled data releases could theoretically shift a reading by a degree, such revisions are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed across multiple sensors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$42,681結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official temperature measurements from Chicago-area stations, including O’Hare International Airport under NOAA oversight, recorded a daily high of 70–71°F on September 14, 2026, producing the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. This outcome aligns with observed surface conditions, including light winds and moderate humidity that limited afternoon warming after a cooler morning start. Historical September averages for the region hover near 75°F, yet localized cloud cover and a passing frontal boundary suppressed temperatures below typical late-summer peaks. While final quality-controlled data releases could theoretically shift a reading by a degree, such revisions are rare once preliminary observations are confirmed across multiple sensors.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions