Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 16 under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 58% implied probability, as models show consistent daytime warming from morning lows near 15–19°C amid typical early-autumn conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover to suppress maxima. Minor model variations in exact peak timing or localized effects explain the secondary weighting toward 26°C, while the low probability for 29°C or higher reflects the absence of anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月16日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
27°C 56%
26°C 23%
28°C 16%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
23%
27°C
56%
28°C
16%
29°C
5%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
27°C 56%
26°C 23%
28°C 16%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
22°C或以下
$11 交易量
1%
23°C
$61 交易量
1%
24°C
$116 交易量
3%
25°C
$321 交易量
5%
26°C
$357 交易量
23%
27°C
$453 交易量
56%
28°C
$205 交易量
16%
29°C
$37 交易量
5%
30°C
$0 交易量
6%
31°C
$11 交易量
1%
32°C或以上
$11 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 16 under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 58% implied probability, as models show consistent daytime warming from morning lows near 15–19°C amid typical early-autumn conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover to suppress maxima. Minor model variations in exact peak timing or localized effects explain the secondary weighting toward 26°C, while the low probability for 29°C or higher reflects the absence of anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,584結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 16 under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 58% implied probability, as models show consistent daytime warming from morning lows near 15–19°C amid typical early-autumn conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover to suppress maxima. Minor model variations in exact peak timing or localized effects explain the secondary weighting toward 26°C, while the low probability for 29°C or higher reflects the absence of anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,584結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a high of 27–28°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 16 under clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly or northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 58% implied probability, as models show consistent daytime warming from morning lows near 15–19°C amid typical early-autumn conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover to suppress maxima. Minor model variations in exact peak timing or localized effects explain the secondary weighting toward 26°C, while the low probability for 29°C or higher reflects the absence of anomalous heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Updated short-range model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions