Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 14 indicate a cooler-than-typical day, with highs likely in the 24–26°C range driven by increased cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly winds advecting cooler air. This setup reduces solar insolation and surface heating compared to September climatology of around 28–29°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows variability in the exact timing and intensity of precipitation and cloud breaks, which directly affects whether the daily maximum reaches 25°C or stays at 24°C or below. Traders have clustered probability on these two outcomes because small differences in steering patterns or urban heat retention could shift the peak by 1°C, with limited upside risk above 26°C under the current stable high-pressure influence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日重慶氣溫最高?
25°C 29%
23°C或以下 24%
24°C 23%
26°C 18%
23°C或以下
24%
24°C
23%
25°C
29%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
25°C 29%
23°C或以下 24%
24°C 23%
26°C 18%
23°C或以下
24%
24°C
23%
25°C
29%
26°C
18%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 14 indicate a cooler-than-typical day, with highs likely in the 24–26°C range driven by increased cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and northerly winds advecting cooler air. This setup reduces solar insolation and surface heating compared to September climatology of around 28–29°C. Model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF shows variability in the exact timing and intensity of precipitation and cloud breaks, which directly affects whether the daily maximum reaches 25°C or stays at 24°C or below. Traders have clustered probability on these two outcomes because small differences in steering patterns or urban heat retention could shift the peak by 1°C, with limited upside risk above 26°C under the current stable high-pressure influence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions