**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日墨西哥城的最低溫度？
9月14日墨西哥城的最低溫度？
14°C 99%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
$747 交易量
$747 交易量
2026-09-14
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或以上
否
14°C 99%
11°C 20%
12°C 20%
13°C 20%
$747 交易量
$747 交易量
2026-09-14
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
8°C
$0 交易量
否
9°C
$0 交易量
否
10°C
$91 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$21 交易量
否
13°C
$25 交易量
否
14°C
$220 交易量
是
15°C
$157 交易量
否
16°C
$157 交易量
否
17°C或以上
$76 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
交易量
$747結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$747結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader sentiment for Mexico City's September 14 lowest temperature remains tightly balanced between 13°C and 14°C (roughly 48–53% implied probability each), reflecting genuine uncertainty in overnight minimums.** Pre-dawn forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlighted a minimum range of 13–15°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which limited radiative cooling. Hourly observations near Benito Juárez International Airport and central stations showed temperatures bottoming near 13°C in the early morning hours before rising with daytime heating and humidity. Differentiating factors between 13°C and 14°C include subtle variations in cloud cover timing, localized rain-cooled air, wind speed, and the precise urban measurement site, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1°C. Historical September baselines for the city center hover around 10–12°C, but recent wetter, cloudier conditions elevated the floor. Market resolution will hinge on the final official SMN or airport reading once fully processed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions