Current forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum near 10°C for Toronto on September 22 under clear skies and moderate northeast winds of 15-25 km/h, promoting radiative cooling overnight. Model spreads arise from variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover, which can shift the low by several degrees. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with balanced probabilities on extremes (2°C or below and 12°C or higher) capturing potential for stronger cooling if winds weaken or clearer conditions enhance heat loss versus warmer advection if patterns shift. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12-24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日多倫多氣溫最低？
9月22日多倫多氣溫最低？
2°C或以下 84%
12°C或以上 84%
3°C 39%
4°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
2°C或以下
84%
3°C
39%
4°C
39%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
21%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C或以上
84%
2°C或以下 84%
12°C或以上 84%
3°C 39%
4°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
2°C或以下
$10 交易量
84%
3°C
$10 交易量
39%
4°C
$10 交易量
39%
5°C
$0 交易量
21%
6°C
$0 交易量
21%
7°C
$0 交易量
22%
8°C
$0 交易量
22%
9°C
$0 交易量
21%
10°C
$0 交易量
20%
11°C
$0 交易量
20%
12°C或以上
$10 交易量
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum near 10°C for Toronto on September 22 under clear skies and moderate northeast winds of 15-25 km/h, promoting radiative cooling overnight. Model spreads arise from variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover, which can shift the low by several degrees. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with balanced probabilities on extremes (2°C or below and 12°C or higher) capturing potential for stronger cooling if winds weaken or clearer conditions enhance heat loss versus warmer advection if patterns shift. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12-24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$40結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum near 10°C for Toronto on September 22 under clear skies and moderate northeast winds of 15-25 km/h, promoting radiative cooling overnight. Model spreads arise from variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover, which can shift the low by several degrees. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with balanced probabilities on extremes (2°C or below and 12°C or higher) capturing potential for stronger cooling if winds weaken or clearer conditions enhance heat loss versus warmer advection if patterns shift. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12-24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum near 10°C for Toronto on September 22 under clear skies and moderate northeast winds of 15-25 km/h, promoting radiative cooling overnight. Model spreads arise from variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and the timing of any residual cloud cover, which can shift the low by several degrees. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, with balanced probabilities on extremes (2°C or below and 12°C or higher) capturing potential for stronger cooling if winds weaken or clearer conditions enhance heat loss versus warmer advection if patterns shift. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 12-24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions