Persistent northeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover from a stalled frontal boundary are suppressing daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting a Tuesday high of 61–64 °F. This cool, stable pattern—marked by onshore flow off Lake Michigan and limited solar insolation—keeps readings well below late-September normals. Minor differences among model solutions in the exact timing of partial clearing and wind gusts create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, with the 60–63 °F bins capturing the bulk of consensus. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model cycles will further narrow the likely peak temperature ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日芝加哥的最高溫度？
9月22日芝加哥的最高溫度？
62-63°F 37%
60-61°F 32%
64-65°F 21%
58-59°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
華氏53度或以下
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
32%
62-63°F
37%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F或更高
<1%
62-63°F 37%
60-61°F 32%
64-65°F 21%
58-59°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
華氏53度或以下
$0 交易量
2%
54-55°F
$76 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$40 交易量
2%
58-59°F
$1,032 交易量
15%
60-61°F
$307 交易量
32%
62-63°F
$448 交易量
37%
64-65°F
$481 交易量
21%
66-67°F
$40 交易量
3%
68-69°F
$75 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$92 交易量
<1%
72°F或更高
$141 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover from a stalled frontal boundary are suppressing daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting a Tuesday high of 61–64 °F. This cool, stable pattern—marked by onshore flow off Lake Michigan and limited solar insolation—keeps readings well below late-September normals. Minor differences among model solutions in the exact timing of partial clearing and wind gusts create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, with the 60–63 °F bins capturing the bulk of consensus. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model cycles will further narrow the likely peak temperature ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,733結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent northeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover from a stalled frontal boundary are suppressing daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting a Tuesday high of 61–64 °F. This cool, stable pattern—marked by onshore flow off Lake Michigan and limited solar insolation—keeps readings well below late-September normals. Minor differences among model solutions in the exact timing of partial clearing and wind gusts create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, with the 60–63 °F bins capturing the bulk of consensus. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model cycles will further narrow the likely peak temperature ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,733結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETPersistent northeasterly winds and extensive cloud cover from a stalled frontal boundary are suppressing daytime heating across the Chicago area, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models projecting a Tuesday high of 61–64 °F. This cool, stable pattern—marked by onshore flow off Lake Michigan and limited solar insolation—keeps readings well below late-September normals. Minor differences among model solutions in the exact timing of partial clearing and wind gusts create the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds, with the 60–63 °F bins capturing the bulk of consensus. Updated NWS point forecasts and next model cycles will further narrow the likely peak temperature ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions