Recent official forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on September 20 under a building high-pressure system with northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air. This aligns with near-normal September conditions after recent warmer spells, though model runs show sensitivity to afternoon cloud cover and wind timing that could limit the peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 19–21°C, led by the 20°C outcome, reflects this narrow uncertainty band and consensus from multiple guidance sources rather than outlier warmer scenarios. Updated model data and any last-minute observational shifts from the Met Office will likely refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月20日倫敦的最高溫度？
20°C 55%
21°C 25%
19°C 16%
18°C 4%
最新
$16,351 交易量
最新
$16,351 交易量
2026-09-20
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
16%
20°C
55%
21°C
25%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或以上
<1%
20°C 55%
21°C 25%
19°C 16%
18°C 4%
最新
$16,351 交易量
最新
$16,351 交易量
2026-09-20
16°C或以下
$616 交易量
<1%
17°C
$351 交易量
<1%
18°C
$584 交易量
4%
19°C
$3,436 交易量
16%
20°C
$4,555 交易量
55%
21°C
$4,505 交易量
25%
22°C
$1,113 交易量
3%
23°C
$605 交易量
<1%
24°C
$185 交易量
<1%
25°C
$140 交易量
<1%
26°C或以上
$261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on September 20 under a building high-pressure system with northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air. This aligns with near-normal September conditions after recent warmer spells, though model runs show sensitivity to afternoon cloud cover and wind timing that could limit the peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 19–21°C, led by the 20°C outcome, reflects this narrow uncertainty band and consensus from multiple guidance sources rather than outlier warmer scenarios. Updated model data and any last-minute observational shifts from the Met Office will likely refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$16,351結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on September 20 under a building high-pressure system with northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air. This aligns with near-normal September conditions after recent warmer spells, though model runs show sensitivity to afternoon cloud cover and wind timing that could limit the peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 19–21°C, led by the 20°C outcome, reflects this narrow uncertainty band and consensus from multiple guidance sources rather than outlier warmer scenarios. Updated model data and any last-minute observational shifts from the Met Office will likely refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,351結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Met Office indicate a maximum of 21°C for London on September 20 under a building high-pressure system with northwest winds advecting cooler maritime air. This aligns with near-normal September conditions after recent warmer spells, though model runs show sensitivity to afternoon cloud cover and wind timing that could limit the peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 19–21°C, led by the 20°C outcome, reflects this narrow uncertainty band and consensus from multiple guidance sources rather than outlier warmer scenarios. Updated model data and any last-minute observational shifts from the Met Office will likely refine implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions