Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 70–72°F in Central Park on September 19 as a cool northeast flow develops behind departing high pressure, advecting maritime air across the region and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This onshore regime, with winds shifting easterly at 8–10 mph, caps temperatures well below the 80–82°F readings of September 17–18 and aligns closely with the market’s leading 70–71°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Ensemble consensus shows little spread around this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing could nudge readings into the 72–73°F tier (28.5%) or hold them at 68–69°F (15.5%). Updated NHC and local model runs through Friday evening will refine the final daytime maximum ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月19日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月19日的最高溫度？
70-71°F 53%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
華氏61度或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
53%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
華氏80度或以上
<1%
70-71°F 53%
72-73°F 28%
68-69°F 15%
74-75°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-19
華氏61度或以下
$111 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$180 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$169 交易量
2%
68-69°F
$2,407 交易量
15%
70-71°F
$2,628 交易量
53%
72-73°F
$1,161 交易量
28%
74-75°F
$748 交易量
4%
76-77°F
$11 交易量
2%
78-79°F
$121 交易量
1%
華氏80度或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 70–72°F in Central Park on September 19 as a cool northeast flow develops behind departing high pressure, advecting maritime air across the region and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This onshore regime, with winds shifting easterly at 8–10 mph, caps temperatures well below the 80–82°F readings of September 17–18 and aligns closely with the market’s leading 70–71°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Ensemble consensus shows little spread around this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing could nudge readings into the 72–73°F tier (28.5%) or hold them at 68–69°F (15.5%). Updated NHC and local model runs through Friday evening will refine the final daytime maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,647結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 70–72°F in Central Park on September 19 as a cool northeast flow develops behind departing high pressure, advecting maritime air across the region and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This onshore regime, with winds shifting easterly at 8–10 mph, caps temperatures well below the 80–82°F readings of September 17–18 and aligns closely with the market’s leading 70–71°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Ensemble consensus shows little spread around this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing could nudge readings into the 72–73°F tier (28.5%) or hold them at 68–69°F (15.5%). Updated NHC and local model runs through Friday evening will refine the final daytime maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,647結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 3:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high near 70–72°F in Central Park on September 19 as a cool northeast flow develops behind departing high pressure, advecting maritime air across the region and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. This onshore regime, with winds shifting easterly at 8–10 mph, caps temperatures well below the 80–82°F readings of September 17–18 and aligns closely with the market’s leading 70–71°F bin at 52.5% implied probability. Ensemble consensus shows little spread around this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing could nudge readings into the 72–73°F tier (28.5%) or hold them at 68–69°F (15.5%). Updated NHC and local model runs through Friday evening will refine the final daytime maximum ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions