Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 17 will likely reach 22–23°C, driving the near-even market-implied odds at 19.5% each. A cooling trend from earlier September highs above 30°C, combined with northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms, is limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation between those two outcomes. Forecast uncertainty stems from variations in cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, with some runs suggesting a high near 21°C and others 24°C or above depending on steering patterns. Official monitoring from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble spreads will provide key updates over the next 48 hours as the event nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月17日安卡拉的最高溫度？
22°C 30%
21°C 26%
23°C 18%
20°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
4%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
26%
22°C
30%
23°C
18%
24°C或更高
8%
22°C 30%
21°C 26%
23°C 18%
20°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
15°C
$0 交易量
3%
16°C
$50 交易量
4%
17°C
$50 交易量
4%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
10%
21°C
$148 交易量
26%
22°C
$0 交易量
30%
23°C
$80 交易量
18%
24°C或更高
$20 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 17 will likely reach 22–23°C, driving the near-even market-implied odds at 19.5% each. A cooling trend from earlier September highs above 30°C, combined with northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms, is limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation between those two outcomes. Forecast uncertainty stems from variations in cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, with some runs suggesting a high near 21°C and others 24°C or above depending on steering patterns. Official monitoring from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble spreads will provide key updates over the next 48 hours as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$348結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 17 will likely reach 22–23°C, driving the near-even market-implied odds at 19.5% each. A cooling trend from earlier September highs above 30°C, combined with northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms, is limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation between those two outcomes. Forecast uncertainty stems from variations in cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, with some runs suggesting a high near 21°C and others 24°C or above depending on steering patterns. Official monitoring from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble spreads will provide key updates over the next 48 hours as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$348結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and GFS indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 17 will likely reach 22–23°C, driving the near-even market-implied odds at 19.5% each. A cooling trend from earlier September highs above 30°C, combined with northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and a 30% chance of showers or thunderstorms, is limiting daytime heating and creating tight differentiation between those two outcomes. Forecast uncertainty stems from variations in cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, with some runs suggesting a high near 21°C and others 24°C or above depending on steering patterns. Official monitoring from the Turkish Meteorological Service and ensemble spreads will provide key updates over the next 48 hours as the event nears resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions