Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles show Ankara's September 16 daytime maximum likely peaking at 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation that limits additional heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. A recent cool-down from early-month highs above 30°C, driven by northerly flow, supports these values against mid-September climatology of 24–26°C highs at Ankara stations. Overnight model runs and morning surface observations will refine resolution thresholds before final confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日安卡拉的最高溫度?
24°C 40%
25°C 33%
23°C 14%
26°C 8%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
40%
25°C
33%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 33%
23°C 14%
26°C 8%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
40%
25°C
33%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles show Ankara's September 16 daytime maximum likely peaking at 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and minimal precipitation that limits additional heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. A recent cool-down from early-month highs above 30°C, driven by northerly flow, supports these values against mid-September climatology of 24–26°C highs at Ankara stations. Overnight model runs and morning surface observations will refine resolution thresholds before final confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions