Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with moderate southeast winds of 3–4 levels, following a warmer sunny day on the 16th. These conditions, typical for mid-September coastal Shandong with moderating marine influence and limited solar heating, position 26–28°C as the most probable range. Trader emphasis on 28°C and 27°C reflects lingering effects from the recent warm spell, potential model spread in cloud cover timing, and historical variability around the 26°C September average, while lower odds on 29–30°C account for the risk of brief clearing. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日青島氣溫最高?
28°C 46%
27°C 33%
29°C 13%
26°C 7%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
33%
28°C
46%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C或以上
1%
28°C 46%
27°C 33%
29°C 13%
26°C 7%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
33%
28°C
46%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project a high of 25–26°C in Qingdao on September 17 under mostly cloudy skies with moderate southeast winds of 3–4 levels, following a warmer sunny day on the 16th. These conditions, typical for mid-September coastal Shandong with moderating marine influence and limited solar heating, position 26–28°C as the most probable range. Trader emphasis on 28°C and 27°C reflects lingering effects from the recent warm spell, potential model spread in cloud cover timing, and historical variability around the 26°C September average, while lower odds on 29–30°C account for the risk of brief clearing. Updated model runs and official briefings will refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions