Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate a high of 76–77°F for Los Angeles on September 17, 2026, under typical September marine layer influence with morning low clouds clearing to partly sunny skies and southwest winds around 15 mph. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.2°F and explains the market's strong consensus on the 76–77°F bin at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 74–75°F at 34.5%. Recent observational data show stable atmospheric conditions without heat advection or anomalous warming, keeping upside outcomes like 78°F+ below 6% combined. Traders are weighting official model consensus and historical analogs, with resolution hinging on the daily maximum at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯9月17日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯9月17日的最高溫度？
76-77華氏度 56%
74-75°F 35%
72-73℉ 7%
78-79°F 5%
最新
$23,121 交易量
最新
$23,121 交易量
2026-09-17
華氏63度或以下
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73℉
7%
74-75°F
35%
76-77華氏度
56%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
2%
82°F或以上
<1%
76-77華氏度 56%
74-75°F 35%
72-73℉ 7%
78-79°F 5%
最新
$23,121 交易量
最新
$23,121 交易量
2026-09-17
華氏63度或以下
$203 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$719 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$208 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$825 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$529 交易量
<1%
72-73℉
$1,410 交易量
7%
74-75°F
$6,815 交易量
35%
76-77華氏度
$6,814 交易量
56%
78-79°F
$3,243 交易量
5%
80-81°F
$976 交易量
2%
82°F或以上
$1,379 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate a high of 76–77°F for Los Angeles on September 17, 2026, under typical September marine layer influence with morning low clouds clearing to partly sunny skies and southwest winds around 15 mph. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.2°F and explains the market's strong consensus on the 76–77°F bin at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 74–75°F at 34.5%. Recent observational data show stable atmospheric conditions without heat advection or anomalous warming, keeping upside outcomes like 78°F+ below 6% combined. Traders are weighting official model consensus and historical analogs, with resolution hinging on the daily maximum at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$23,121結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate a high of 76–77°F for Los Angeles on September 17, 2026, under typical September marine layer influence with morning low clouds clearing to partly sunny skies and southwest winds around 15 mph. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.2°F and explains the market's strong consensus on the 76–77°F bin at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 74–75°F at 34.5%. Recent observational data show stable atmospheric conditions without heat advection or anomalous warming, keeping upside outcomes like 78°F+ below 6% combined. Traders are weighting official model consensus and historical analogs, with resolution hinging on the daily maximum at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23,121結束日期
2026-09-17市場開放時間
Sep 15, 2026, 7:56 AM ETCurrent forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate a high of 76–77°F for Los Angeles on September 17, 2026, under typical September marine layer influence with morning low clouds clearing to partly sunny skies and southwest winds around 15 mph. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 76.2°F and explains the market's strong consensus on the 76–77°F bin at 56.5% implied probability, followed by 74–75°F at 34.5%. Recent observational data show stable atmospheric conditions without heat advection or anomalous warming, keeping upside outcomes like 78°F+ below 6% combined. Traders are weighting official model consensus and historical analogs, with resolution hinging on the daily maximum at official stations such as Los Angeles International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions