**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on September 19, 2026, centers on mid-70s readings, with 76-77°F holding the highest implied probability at 39% and 74-75°F at 29%.** These outcomes reflect current National Weather Service and model consensus showing overnight lows of 75-78°F amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near the 1991-2020 average low of 76.7°F. No strong cold fronts or atypical steering patterns are indicated in short-range guidance, reducing the chance of sub-74°F readings. Historical data confirm 69°F as the all-time September 19 low, but such extremes require rare synoptic setups absent from current forecasts. Upcoming National Hurricane Center and local NWS updates on storm tracks and temperature trends through September 18-19 will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日邁阿密的最低溫度?
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 29%
72-73華氏度 19%
78-79°F 19%
69°F或以下
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73華氏度
19%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或以上
1%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 29%
72-73華氏度 19%
78-79°F 19%
69°F或以下
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73華氏度
19%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Miami's lowest temperature on September 19, 2026, centers on mid-70s readings, with 76-77°F holding the highest implied probability at 39% and 74-75°F at 29%.** These outcomes reflect current National Weather Service and model consensus showing overnight lows of 75-78°F amid typical late-summer conditions. Persistent easterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and scattered thunderstorms limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures near the 1991-2020 average low of 76.7°F. No strong cold fronts or atypical steering patterns are indicated in short-range guidance, reducing the chance of sub-74°F readings. Historical data confirm 69°F as the all-time September 19 low, but such extremes require rare synoptic setups absent from current forecasts. Upcoming National Hurricane Center and local NWS updates on storm tracks and temperature trends through September 18-19 will provide the next key data points for refining these market-implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions