**Official observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 66-67°F on September 19, 2026, driving the 93.5% market-implied probability on that outcome.** Hourly data showed overnight lows stabilizing near 67°F (19.4°C) under a persistent marine layer with low clouds and fog, which limited radiative cooling despite daytime highs in the mid-70s to near 80°F. This aligns with typical mid-September coastal climatology, where on-shore flow and stratus moderate extremes. Strong trader consensus reflects confidence in NWS station data for market resolution, though minor revisions could occur if downtown or other official sites report differently or if model post-analysis adjusts the daily minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯9月19日的最低溫度?
66-67°F 99%
58-59°F 94%
62-63°F 94%
60-61°F 3%
$1,759 交易量
$1,759 交易量
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73華氏度
否
華氏74度或以上
否
66-67°F 99%
58-59°F 94%
62-63°F 94%
60-61°F 3%
$1,759 交易量
$1,759 交易量
55°F或以下
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
是
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73華氏度
否
華氏74度或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 66-67°F on September 19, 2026, driving the 93.5% market-implied probability on that outcome.** Hourly data showed overnight lows stabilizing near 67°F (19.4°C) under a persistent marine layer with low clouds and fog, which limited radiative cooling despite daytime highs in the mid-70s to near 80°F. This aligns with typical mid-September coastal climatology, where on-shore flow and stratus moderate extremes. Strong trader consensus reflects confidence in NWS station data for market resolution, though minor revisions could occur if downtown or other official sites report differently or if model post-analysis adjusts the daily minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions