**Trader consensus on the Austin temperature market centers on 96-99°F for September 22, driven by National Weather Service and numerical model guidance projecting highs in the upper 90s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances.** Recent observations show a stable hot pattern with daily maxima of 96-99°F amid above-normal temperatures for late September, supported by southerly flow and limited moisture. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential variations in cloud cover, dew points, and brief convective activity that could cap or slightly boost the peak reading. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
9月22日奧斯汀的最高溫度？
96-97°F 42%
98-99°F 35%
94-95°F 16%
92-93°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
87°F或以下
4%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
4%
106°F或以上
<1%
96-97°F 42%
98-99°F 35%
94-95°F 16%
92-93°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
87°F或以下
$0 交易量
4%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
4%
90-91°F
$24 交易量
9%
92-93°F
$20 交易量
14%
94-95°F
$6 交易量
16%
96-97°F
$553 交易量
42%
98-99°F
$23 交易量
35%
100-101°F
$0 交易量
11%
102-103°F
$26 交易量
5%
104-105°F
$57 交易量
4%
106°F或以上
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Austin temperature market centers on 96-99°F for September 22, driven by National Weather Service and numerical model guidance projecting highs in the upper 90s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances.**
Recent observations show a stable hot pattern with daily maxima of 96-99°F amid above-normal temperatures for late September, supported by southerly flow and limited moisture. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential variations in cloud cover, dew points, and brief convective activity that could cap or slightly boost the peak reading. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$818結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Austin temperature market centers on 96-99°F for September 22, driven by National Weather Service and numerical model guidance projecting highs in the upper 90s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances.**
Recent observations show a stable hot pattern with daily maxima of 96-99°F amid above-normal temperatures for late September, supported by southerly flow and limited moisture. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential variations in cloud cover, dew points, and brief convective activity that could cap or slightly boost the peak reading. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$818結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET**Trader consensus on the Austin temperature market centers on 96-99°F for September 22, driven by National Weather Service and numerical model guidance projecting highs in the upper 90s under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and only slight afternoon thunderstorm chances.** Recent observations show a stable hot pattern with daily maxima of 96-99°F amid above-normal temperatures for late September, supported by southerly flow and limited moisture. Minor forecast spreads arise from potential variations in cloud cover, dew points, and brief convective activity that could cap or slightly boost the peak reading. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key inputs likely to shift market-implied odds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions