**Trader sentiment for Paris's September 20 high temperature centers on the tight contest between 23°C and 24°C, reflecting model consensus for a mild autumn afternoon under high pressure.** Western European synoptic patterns feature a stable anticyclone promoting light westerly to northwesterly flow, limited moisture, and increasing high-to-mid cloud cover that tempers but does not suppress daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble runs from sources aligned with Météo-France and global models cluster the maximum near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with recent observations showing afternoon peaks in that narrow band amid dew points around 11–14°C and winds of 10–15 km/h. Differentiation between the two leading outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact advection; any late clearing could push the peak toward 24°C while persistent overcast favors 23°C or lower. Historical September baselines near 22°C and the absence of strong frontal activity keep probabilities for outliers below 10%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日巴黎最高溫度？
9月20日巴黎最高溫度？
23°C 45%
24°C 33%
22°C 15%
25°C 8%
$41,276 交易量
$41,276 交易量
2026-09-20
20°C或以下
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
15%
23°C
45%
24°C
33%
25°C
8%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 33%
22°C 15%
25°C 8%
$41,276 交易量
$41,276 交易量
2026-09-20
20°C或以下
$2,913 交易量
1%
21°C
$1,985 交易量
1%
22°C
$10,799 交易量
15%
23°C
$6,365 交易量
45%
24°C
$6,189 交易量
33%
25°C
$7,320 交易量
8%
26°C
$2,431 交易量
<1%
27°C
$493 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,421 交易量
<1%
29°C
$100 交易量
<1%
30°C或以上
$1,261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's September 20 high temperature centers on the tight contest between 23°C and 24°C, reflecting model consensus for a mild autumn afternoon under high pressure.**
Western European synoptic patterns feature a stable anticyclone promoting light westerly to northwesterly flow, limited moisture, and increasing high-to-mid cloud cover that tempers but does not suppress daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble runs from sources aligned with Météo-France and global models cluster the maximum near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with recent observations showing afternoon peaks in that narrow band amid dew points around 11–14°C and winds of 10–15 km/h. Differentiation between the two leading outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact advection; any late clearing could push the peak toward 24°C while persistent overcast favors 23°C or lower. Historical September baselines near 22°C and the absence of strong frontal activity keep probabilities for outliers below 10%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$41,276結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's September 20 high temperature centers on the tight contest between 23°C and 24°C, reflecting model consensus for a mild autumn afternoon under high pressure.**
Western European synoptic patterns feature a stable anticyclone promoting light westerly to northwesterly flow, limited moisture, and increasing high-to-mid cloud cover that tempers but does not suppress daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble runs from sources aligned with Météo-France and global models cluster the maximum near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with recent observations showing afternoon peaks in that narrow band amid dew points around 11–14°C and winds of 10–15 km/h. Differentiation between the two leading outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact advection; any late clearing could push the peak toward 24°C while persistent overcast favors 23°C or lower. Historical September baselines near 22°C and the absence of strong frontal activity keep probabilities for outliers below 10%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,276結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Paris's September 20 high temperature centers on the tight contest between 23°C and 24°C, reflecting model consensus for a mild autumn afternoon under high pressure.** Western European synoptic patterns feature a stable anticyclone promoting light westerly to northwesterly flow, limited moisture, and increasing high-to-mid cloud cover that tempers but does not suppress daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble runs from sources aligned with Météo-France and global models cluster the maximum near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with recent observations showing afternoon peaks in that narrow band amid dew points around 11–14°C and winds of 10–15 km/h. Differentiation between the two leading outcomes hinges on small variations in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact advection; any late clearing could push the peak toward 24°C while persistent overcast favors 23°C or lower. Historical September baselines near 22°C and the absence of strong frontal activity keep probabilities for outliers below 10%.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions