Recent model consensus from GFS and other sources points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and minimal cloud cover over Paris on September 22, supporting a daytime high near 24–25°C—well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C but within normal late-summer variability. Stable high pressure and dry air mass limit convective cooling while allowing efficient solar heating, with afternoon peaks likely between 23–26°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation. These conditions align closely with market-implied odds favoring 24°C (58.5%) and 25°C (33.0%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast reliability just 24 hours ahead. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月22日的最高溫度？
巴黎9月22日的最高溫度？
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
66%
25°C
31%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或以上
<1%
24°C 66%
25°C 31%
26°C 4%
23°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
19°C或以下
$1,073 交易量
<1%
20°C
$713 交易量
<1%
21°C
$115 交易量
<1%
22°C
$273 交易量
<1%
23°C
$715 交易量
3%
24°C
$3,103 交易量
66%
25°C
$1,525 交易量
31%
26°C
$921 交易量
4%
27°C
$356 交易量
<1%
28°C
$115 交易量
<1%
29°C或以上
$192 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other sources points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and minimal cloud cover over Paris on September 22, supporting a daytime high near 24–25°C—well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C but within normal late-summer variability. Stable high pressure and dry air mass limit convective cooling while allowing efficient solar heating, with afternoon peaks likely between 23–26°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation. These conditions align closely with market-implied odds favoring 24°C (58.5%) and 25°C (33.0%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast reliability just 24 hours ahead. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$9,102結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and other sources points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and minimal cloud cover over Paris on September 22, supporting a daytime high near 24–25°C—well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C but within normal late-summer variability. Stable high pressure and dry air mass limit convective cooling while allowing efficient solar heating, with afternoon peaks likely between 23–26°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation. These conditions align closely with market-implied odds favoring 24°C (58.5%) and 25°C (33.0%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast reliability just 24 hours ahead. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,102結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent model consensus from GFS and other sources points to clear skies, light northeast winds, and minimal cloud cover over Paris on September 22, supporting a daytime high near 24–25°C—well above the 1991–2020 average of 20.6°C but within normal late-summer variability. Stable high pressure and dry air mass limit convective cooling while allowing efficient solar heating, with afternoon peaks likely between 23–26°C depending on exact timing of peak insolation. These conditions align closely with market-implied odds favoring 24°C (58.5%) and 25°C (33.0%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast reliability just 24 hours ahead. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions