**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models position a maximum of 22–23°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 21, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover are expected to allow gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 12°C, peaking in the low-to-mid 20s during the afternoon. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (57.5%) and 22°C (34%), reflecting trader consensus on model agreement and the absence of significant frontal activity or precipitation. Late-September climatology shows an average daily high of about 20.7°C, so today’s expected values sit modestly above the baseline under typical anticyclonic influence. Official station measurements, such as those from Météo-France, will determine final resolution, with any late model shifts or observational revisions the main variables that could adjust implied probabilities before the day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於巴黎9月21日的最高溫度？
巴黎9月21日的最高溫度？
23°C 59%
22°C 32%
24°C 9%
21°C 2%
最新
$34,644 交易量
最新
$34,644 交易量
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
32%
23°C
59%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
23°C 59%
22°C 32%
24°C 9%
21°C 2%
最新
$34,644 交易量
最新
$34,644 交易量
2026-09-21
18°C或以下
$2,177 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,787 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,102 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,174 交易量
2%
22°C
$6,848 交易量
32%
23°C
$7,229 交易量
59%
24°C
$6,468 交易量
9%
25°C
$2,545 交易量
1%
26°C
$751 交易量
<1%
27°C
$277 交易量
<1%
28°C或以上
$1,287 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models position a maximum of 22–23°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 21, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover are expected to allow gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 12°C, peaking in the low-to-mid 20s during the afternoon. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (57.5%) and 22°C (34%), reflecting trader consensus on model agreement and the absence of significant frontal activity or precipitation. Late-September climatology shows an average daily high of about 20.7°C, so today’s expected values sit modestly above the baseline under typical anticyclonic influence. Official station measurements, such as those from Météo-France, will determine final resolution, with any late model shifts or observational revisions the main variables that could adjust implied probabilities before the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$34,644結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models position a maximum of 22–23°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 21, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover are expected to allow gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 12°C, peaking in the low-to-mid 20s during the afternoon. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (57.5%) and 22°C (34%), reflecting trader consensus on model agreement and the absence of significant frontal activity or precipitation. Late-September climatology shows an average daily high of about 20.7°C, so today’s expected values sit modestly above the baseline under typical anticyclonic influence. Official station measurements, such as those from Météo-France, will determine final resolution, with any late model shifts or observational revisions the main variables that could adjust implied probabilities before the day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$34,644結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models position a maximum of 22–23°C as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 21, 2026.** Stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover are expected to allow gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 12°C, peaking in the low-to-mid 20s during the afternoon. This aligns closely with the market’s heavy weighting toward 23°C (57.5%) and 22°C (34%), reflecting trader consensus on model agreement and the absence of significant frontal activity or precipitation. Late-September climatology shows an average daily high of about 20.7°C, so today’s expected values sit modestly above the baseline under typical anticyclonic influence. Official station measurements, such as those from Météo-France, will determine final resolution, with any late model shifts or observational revisions the main variables that could adjust implied probabilities before the day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions