Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an afternoon peak of 28–29°C in Milan on September 21, 2026, driven by moderate solar heating under variable cloud cover, light easterly winds near 5 km/h, and surface pressure around 1020 hPa. These conditions limit rapid mixing or cooling while allowing daytime insolation to push temperatures above the September climatological average of about 22°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 29°C at 58% implied probability because official guidance shows limited upside to 30°C or higher absent stronger ridging, with only modest model spread around cloud timing that could trim the maximum by 1°C. Final observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily high is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日米蘭的最高溫度？
9月21日米蘭的最高溫度？
29°C 58%
28°C 25%
30°C 21%
31°C或更高 <1%
最新
$31,096 交易量
最新
$31,096 交易量
2026-09-21
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
25%
29°C
58%
30°C
21%
31°C或更高
1%
29°C 58%
28°C 25%
30°C 21%
31°C或更高 <1%
最新
$31,096 交易量
最新
$31,096 交易量
2026-09-21
21°C或以下
$1,055 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,840 交易量
<1%
23°C
$110 交易量
<1%
24°C
$125 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,264 交易量
<1%
26°C
$2,125 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,991 交易量
1%
28°C
$6,081 交易量
25%
29°C
$5,651 交易量
58%
30°C
$6,435 交易量
21%
31°C或更高
$4,419 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an afternoon peak of 28–29°C in Milan on September 21, 2026, driven by moderate solar heating under variable cloud cover, light easterly winds near 5 km/h, and surface pressure around 1020 hPa. These conditions limit rapid mixing or cooling while allowing daytime insolation to push temperatures above the September climatological average of about 22°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 29°C at 58% implied probability because official guidance shows limited upside to 30°C or higher absent stronger ridging, with only modest model spread around cloud timing that could trim the maximum by 1°C. Final observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily high is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$31,096結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on an afternoon peak of 28–29°C in Milan on September 21, 2026, driven by moderate solar heating under variable cloud cover, light easterly winds near 5 km/h, and surface pressure around 1020 hPa. These conditions limit rapid mixing or cooling while allowing daytime insolation to push temperatures above the September climatological average of about 22°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 29°C at 58% implied probability because official guidance shows limited upside to 30°C or higher absent stronger ridging, with only modest model spread around cloud timing that could trim the maximum by 1°C. Final observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily high is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,096結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models converge on an afternoon peak of 28–29°C in Milan on September 21, 2026, driven by moderate solar heating under variable cloud cover, light easterly winds near 5 km/h, and surface pressure around 1020 hPa. These conditions limit rapid mixing or cooling while allowing daytime insolation to push temperatures above the September climatological average of about 22°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 29°C at 58% implied probability because official guidance shows limited upside to 30°C or higher absent stronger ridging, with only modest model spread around cloud timing that could trim the maximum by 1°C. Final observations from local stations will resolve the market once the daily high is confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions