Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies project Shenzhen's September 21 maximum near 30–33°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 60–70% afternoon humidity that supports scattered thunderstorms. These conditions allow strong daytime solar heating under clear intervals while convective clouds and brief rain may limit peaks or enable brief spikes depending on timing and coverage. Trader consensus clusters on 31–32°C because ensemble guidance shows consistent surface temperatures in that range, with 33°C requiring clearer skies and drier air than current moisture profiles suggest. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月21日深圳最高溫度?
31°C 31%
32°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 17%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
31%
32°C
27%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C或以上
2%
31°C 31%
32°C 27%
33°C 20%
30°C 17%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
31%
32°C
27%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies project Shenzhen's September 21 maximum near 30–33°C amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 60–70% afternoon humidity that supports scattered thunderstorms. These conditions allow strong daytime solar heating under clear intervals while convective clouds and brief rain may limit peaks or enable brief spikes depending on timing and coverage. Trader consensus clusters on 31–32°C because ensemble guidance shows consistent surface temperatures in that range, with 33°C requiring clearer skies and drier air than current moisture profiles suggest. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily high is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions