Recent forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS consensus indicate Moscow's September 22 high will likely fall between 17–19°C under predominantly cloudy skies with showers and southeasterly winds of 6–13 m/s. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while mild southerly advection supports values near or slightly above seasonal norms of roughly 15–17°C. The tight spread between 17°C and 18°C market-implied odds reflects model differences in exact timing and intensity of rain, which can suppress or allow brief afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Real-time station observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日莫斯科最高溫度？
9月22日莫斯科最高溫度？
17°C 34%
18°C 26%
16°C 17%
19°C 15%
最新
$14,452 交易量
最新
$14,452 交易量
2026-09-22
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
17%
17°C
34%
18°C
26%
19°C
15%
20°C
5%
21°C或以上
1%
17°C 34%
18°C 26%
16°C 17%
19°C 15%
最新
$14,452 交易量
最新
$14,452 交易量
2026-09-22
11°C或以下
$75 交易量
<1%
12°C
$111 交易量
<1%
13°C
$350 交易量
<1%
14°C
$625 交易量
<1%
15°C
$988 交易量
5%
16°C
$1,578 交易量
17%
17°C
$2,860 交易量
34%
18°C
$6,157 交易量
26%
19°C
$1,130 交易量
15%
20°C
$326 交易量
5%
21°C或以上
$252 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS consensus indicate Moscow's September 22 high will likely fall between 17–19°C under predominantly cloudy skies with showers and southeasterly winds of 6–13 m/s. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while mild southerly advection supports values near or slightly above seasonal norms of roughly 15–17°C. The tight spread between 17°C and 18°C market-implied odds reflects model differences in exact timing and intensity of rain, which can suppress or allow brief afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Real-time station observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$14,452結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS consensus indicate Moscow's September 22 high will likely fall between 17–19°C under predominantly cloudy skies with showers and southeasterly winds of 6–13 m/s. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while mild southerly advection supports values near or slightly above seasonal norms of roughly 15–17°C. The tight spread between 17°C and 18°C market-implied odds reflects model differences in exact timing and intensity of rain, which can suppress or allow brief afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Real-time station observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,452結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and GFS consensus indicate Moscow's September 22 high will likely fall between 17–19°C under predominantly cloudy skies with showers and southeasterly winds of 6–13 m/s. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce surface heating compared to clearer conditions, while mild southerly advection supports values near or slightly above seasonal norms of roughly 15–17°C. The tight spread between 17°C and 18°C market-implied odds reflects model differences in exact timing and intensity of rain, which can suppress or allow brief afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Real-time station observations and updated model runs through the afternoon will narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions