Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 22, driven by light winds, mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, and a gradual shift to easterly flow under upper-air disturbances. Typical late-September conditions in the region feature overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, with high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling from cloud cover and weak pressure gradients. Recent observations show daytime maxima around 30–33°C and no major cooling signals from the approaching northeast monsoon. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 27°C as model consensus holds steady, though localized variations from showers or wind changes could produce slight deviations within the 26–28°C range ahead of the day's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於九月二十二日香港最低氣溫?
22°C或以下 51%
27°C 50%
26°C 39%
25°C 34%
22°C或以下
51%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
34%
26°C
39%
27°C
50%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
22°C或以下 51%
27°C 50%
26°C 39%
25°C 34%
22°C或以下
51%
23°C
20%
24°C
22%
25°C
34%
26°C
39%
27°C
50%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C on September 22, driven by light winds, mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, and a gradual shift to easterly flow under upper-air disturbances. Typical late-September conditions in the region feature overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, with high humidity and limited nocturnal cooling from cloud cover and weak pressure gradients. Recent observations show daytime maxima around 30–33°C and no major cooling signals from the approaching northeast monsoon. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 27°C as model consensus holds steady, though localized variations from showers or wind changes could produce slight deviations within the 26–28°C range ahead of the day's resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions